Sat, Mar 18, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Ottawa Senators 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 80% of the time.
75%
15%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 25:31 | 0.24 | 21.5% | +33.5 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 2 | 23:49 | 0.14 | 52.1% | +13.3 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 4 | 23:25 | 0.65 | 70.5% | +36.4 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:52 | 0.11 | 47.7% | +22.4 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 21:14 | 0.00 | 18.8% | 0.0 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 20:58 | 0.01 | 20.9% | 0.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:29 | 0.04 | 39.7% | +20.2 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 18:56 | 0.00 | 26.4% | +33.5 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.32 | 19.1% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:55 | 0.32 | 79.8% | +36.4 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:53 | 0.22 | 29.7% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:04 | 0.23 | 56.8% | +14.1 |
 Sam LaffertyC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:10 | 0.13 | 31.7% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:10 | 0.59 | 33.0% | 0.0 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:09 | 0.00 | 24.6% | 0.0 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:03 | 0.04 | 4.6% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:00 | 0.16 | 28.4% | 0.0 |
 Wayne SimmondsRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:44 | 0.00 | 5.1% | 0.0 |
 Matt Murray#30 | W | 52 | 48 | 4 | .923 | 5.56 | +1.6 | 65:00 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 27:18 | 0.38 | 39.6% | +33.8 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 8 | 23:48 | 1.29 | 49.4% | +63.5 |
 Thomas ChabotD · #72 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 23:14 | 0.12 | 63.3% | +50.1 |
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:07 | 0.12 | 66.6% | 0.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 22:52 | 0.27 | 46.1% | 0.0 |
 Jakob ChychrunD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 21:22 | 0.08 | 70.9% | 0.0 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 21:05 | 0.76 | 71.3% | +50.1 |
 Alex DeBrincatRW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:04 | 0.26 | 74.6% | 0.0 |
 Travis HamonicD · #23 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:49 | 0.16 | 67.2% | +33.8 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:06 | 0.01 | 64.8% | 0.0 |
 Erik BrannstromD · #26 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 16:27 | 0.11 | 61.5% | +16.8 |
 Shane PintoC · #57 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 15:00 | 0.92 | 75.9% | +16.8 |
 Derick BrassardC · #61 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:17 | 0.00 | 75.2% | 0.0 |
 Ridly GreigC · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:20 | 0.23 | 84.0% | 0.0 |
 Julien GauthierRW · #77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 10:19 | 0.22 | 70.9% | +16.8 |
 Austin WatsonLW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:10 | 0.22 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
 Dylan GambrellC · #27 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 8:33 | 0.19 | 63.8% | 0.0 |
 Patrick BrownC · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:20 | 0.23 | 73.8% | 0.0 |
 Mads Sogaard#40 | O | 29 | 25 | 4 | .862 | 3.21 | −0.8 | 63:10 |