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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 18, 2023·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 5, Ottawa Senators 4 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 80% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tavares–Bunting–MarnerJarnkrok–Kerfoot–MatthewsNylander–Lafferty–McMannSimmonds–Aston-Reese–KampfLafferty–Aston-Reese–KampfNylander–Marner–MatthewsJarnkrok–Nylander–MatthewsMcCabe–LiljegrenBrodie–HollSchenn–RiellyRielly–McCabeRielly–Liljegren
Batherson–Tkachuk–Stützle0:480.01–0.005:490.19–0.570:420.06–0.000:410.00–0.004:480.23–0.694:300.35–0.062:590.03–0.030:550.00–0.160:330.00–0.00
Giroux–DeBrincat–Greig5:190.47–0.230:440.05–0.001:090.00–0.000:540.05–0.003:130.02–0.124:110.60–0.001:440.04–0.11
Brassard–Gauthier–Pinto0:580.00–0.001:470.00–0.152:510.64–0.190:410.35–0.001:560.47–0.002:220.12–0.003:250.57–0.18
Watson–Brown–Gambrell0:400.00–0.001:120.00–0.002:470.43–0.002:080.22–0.002:100.00–0.00
Giroux–DeBrincat–Pinto0:370.03–0.000:300.00–0.000:380.00–0.000:490.03–0.00
Giroux–Tkachuk–Stützle0:390.00–0.06
Hamonic–Chychrun6:270.40–0.301:410.06–0.001:490.62–0.200:370.00–0.004:370.04–0.124:170.58–0.104:010.59–0.110:540.00–0.05
Chabot–Brannstrom0:560.23–0.000:580.00–0.602:390.02–0.033:270.23–0.041:510.40–0.005:550.64–0.564:480.55–0.052:290.03–0.19
Sanderson–Zub2:020.11–0.006:200.14–0.130:420.00–0.131:050.22–0.000:530.00–0.064:240.28–0.195:070.08–0.133:070.16–0.03
Chabot–Zub0:400.00–0.000:310.00–0.00
Hamonic–Sanderson0:320.00–0.00
Chabot–Chychrun
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndTkachuk FStützle FBatherson FDeBrincat FGreig FGiroux FGauthier FBrassard FPinto FWatson FGambrell FBrown FZub DSanderson DChychrun DHamonic DBrannstrom DChabot DSogaard GKerfoot FJarnkrok FMatthews FMarner FBunting FTavares FLafferty FNylander FMcMann FAston-Reese FSimmonds FKampf FHoll DBrodie DMcCabe DLiljegren DRielly DSchenn DMurray G
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Tim StützleOTT3327:180:501:4554
Mitch MarnerTOR2925:310:532:2385
Jake McCabeTOR2823:490:512:1631
Brady TkachukOTT3223:480:451:2063
Auston MatthewsTOR2723:250:521:4141
Thomas ChabotOTT2623:140:541:3872
Jake SandersonOTT3223:070:431:3735
Drake BathersonOTT3022:520:461:3461
Timothy LiljegrenTOR3122:520:442:1972
Jakob ChychrunOTT3221:220:401:0963
TJ BrodieTOR2721:140:471:3314
Claude GirouxOTT3221:050:402:0147
Justin HollTOR2720:580:471:3524
Morgan RiellyTOR2720:290:461:4150
Alex DeBrincatOTT2520:040:481:4142
Travis HamonicOTT3019:490:401:0856
John TavaresTOR2418:560:472:0574
David KampfTOR2218:030:491:5208
Calle JarnkrokTOR2717:550:401:0751
Artem ZubOTT2817:060:371:1233
William NylanderTOR2216:530:461:4150
Erik BrannstromOTT2316:270:431:1372
Alexander KerfootTOR2416:040:401:0922
Shane PintoOTT2415:000:380:5834
Derick BrassardOTT1813:170:441:0731
Sam LaffertyTOR2013:100:401:1542
Michael BuntingTOR1713:100:461:2752
Luke SchennTOR2113:090:381:0620
Ridly GreigOTT1712:200:441:5431
Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR1811:030:371:3405
Julien GauthierOTT1710:190:360:5711
Austin WatsonOTT159:100:371:1215
Dylan GambrellOTT148:330:370:5311
Patrick BrownOTT158:200:330:5412
Bobby McMannTOR127:000:350:5610
Wayne SimmondsTOR116:440:370:5701