Tue, Mar 21, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York
Carolina Hurricanes 3, New York Rangers 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 65% of the time.
25%
9%
9%
56%
NYR winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:31 | 0.06 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 23:25 | 0.06 | 53.3% | +44.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:04 | 0.02 | 73.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 21:41 | 0.09 | 74.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:36 | 0.32 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 18:48 | 0.10 | 83.8% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:45 | 0.11 | 78.3% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:09 | 0.37 | 70.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 15:58 | 0.52 | 80.1% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:50 | 0.13 | 73.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:36 | 0.23 | 58.5% | +44.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.20 | 70.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:27 | 0.05 | 72.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.38 | 63.9% | +44.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:15 | 0.07 | 72.8% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 10:26 | 0.15 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 9:30 | 0.09 | 47.3% | +27.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 8:41 | 0.11 | 47.7% | +27.8 |
| W | 31 | 29 | 2 | .935 | 2.14 | +0.1 | 60:00 |
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 22:46 | 0.02 | 16.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 22:12 | 0.00 | 13.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 21:03 | 0.00 | 46.9% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:33 | 0.04 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:10 | 0.09 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.02 | 10.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 17:44 | 0.42 | 19.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:02 | 0.46 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:46 | 0.18 | 52.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:43 | 0.09 | 15.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:32 | 0.07 | 41.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.05 | 31.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 16:13 | 0.01 | 47.5% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.00 | 39.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:31 | 0.17 | 35.5% | +28.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:37 | 0.05 | 31.3% | +18.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 10:19 | 0.42 | 35.0% | +18.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 10:02 | 0.04 | 31.1% | +18.9 |
| L | 39 | 36 | 3 | .923 | 3.04 | 0.0 | 58:45 |