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Ice Lab

Tue, Mar 21, 2023·Madison Square Garden, New York

Carolina Hurricanes 3, New York Rangers 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 65% of the time.

NYR winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NYR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Aho–Necas–JarvisStaal–Fast–NoesenTeravainen–Martinook–KotkaniemiStepan–Puljujarvi–DruryBurns–SlavinSkjei–PesceGostisbehere–Chatfield
Kane–Kreider–Trocheck0:540.00–0.085:130.10–0.111:580.05–0.150:480.11–0.005:570.29–0.163:270.00–0.111:250.01–0.07
Tarasenko–Zibanejad–Panarin5:450.09–0.281:290.00–0.222:060.00–0.214:030.03–0.256:530.10–0.46
Chytil–Kakko–Lafrenière3:000.21–0.021:110.00–0.133:330.08–0.041:430.03–0.001:290.14–0.012:320.00–0.155:460.19–0.04
Goodrow–Vesey–Motte0:360.02–0.001:550.00–0.103:130.22–0.193:020.02–0.062:230.23–0.151:130.00–0.11
Tarasenko–Vesey–Chytil0:560.00–0.081:130.00–0.08
Goodrow–Vesey–Kakko0:390.00–0.100:320.00–0.04
Motte–Chytil–Lafrenière1:050.01–0.090:460.00–0.09
Kane–Trocheck–Lafrenière
Trouba–Miller3:420.02–0.184:590.00–0.552:140.10–0.001:170.00–0.096:050.02–0.056:080.02–0.842:240.10–0.08
Fox–Lindgren5:040.29–0.432:430.10–0.023:080.06–0.261:280.20–0.004:560.34–0.194:320.27–0.153:220.07–0.37
Mikkola–Schneider1:110.00–0.051:440.00–0.002:290.08–0.023:370.16–0.163:370.11–0.123:380.07–0.143:280.11–0.03
Miller–Schneider1:300.00–0.170:410.00–0.201:210.00–0.090:490.00–0.07
Trouba–Mikkola1:120.00–0.100:470.00–0.00
Trouba–Schneider0:300.05–0.050:440.07–0.060:320.00–0.00
Mikkola–Miller0:330.00–0.07
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTrocheck FKreider FKane FPanarin FZibanejad FTarasenko FKakko FLafrenière FChytil FGoodrow FMotte FVesey FTrouba DMiller DLindgren DFox DMikkola DSchneider DShesterkin GStaal FNoesen FFast FAho FNecas FJarvis FTeravainen FMartinook FKotkaniemi FPuljujarvi FDrury FStepan FBurns DSlavin DPesce DSkjei DChatfield DGostisbehere DAndersen G
NYRCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jaccob SlavinCAR2623:310:541:2943
Brent BurnsCAR2523:250:561:5432
Jacob TroubaNYR2522:460:552:2007
K'Andre MillerNYR2422:120:562:0506
Brett PesceCAR2522:040:531:5212
Brady SkjeiCAR2621:410:501:5501
Adam FoxNYR2621:030:491:1645
Sebastian AhoCAR2519:360:471:2120
Jordan StaalCAR2518:480:451:2053
Vincent TrocheckNYR2118:330:531:3333
Patrick KaneNYR2118:100:521:2142
Artemi PanarinNYR1818:031:001:5532
Vladimir TarasenkoNYR1917:440:562:3303
Chris KreiderNYR2117:020:491:1241
Alexis LafrenièreNYR1916:460:531:4123
Jesper FastCAR2316:450:441:1662
Mika ZibanejadNYR1916:430:531:5703
Filip ChytilNYR1816:320:552:3303
Braden SchneiderNYR2116:240:471:3702
Ryan LindgrenNYR2116:130:461:0524
Seth JarvisCAR2016:090:481:0930
Stefan NoesenCAR2015:580:481:4451
Martin NecasCAR1915:500:501:1230
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2215:360:431:1340
Niko MikkolaNYR2115:350:451:3823
Jordan MartinookCAR2115:030:431:2132
Shayne GostisbehereCAR1714:270:511:3520
Kaapo KakkoNYR1613:310:511:1603
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1913:150:421:1440
Jalen ChatfieldCAR1613:150:501:1620
Jimmy VeseyNYR1411:370:501:4812
Jesse PuljujarviCAR1310:260:481:1603
Tyler MotteNYR1510:190:411:0111
Barclay GoodrowNYR1410:020:431:1412
Jack DruryCAR139:300:441:0603
Derek StepanCAR128:410:431:0503