Tue, Mar 21, 2023·Centre Bell, Montreal
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Montréal Canadiens 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 60% of the time.
30%
9%
9%
51%
MTL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mikhail SergachevD · #98 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 23:56 | 0.05 | 61.4% | +12.2 |
 Victor HedmanD · #77 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:16 | 0.03 | 36.2% | 0.0 |
 Brayden PointC · #21 | 1 | 0 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 20:08 | 0.38 | 38.8% | +12.2 |
 Nikita KucherovRW · #86 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 19:39 | 0.20 | 38.8% | 0.0 |
 Erik CernakD · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:18 | 0.07 | 51.1% | 0.0 |
 Steven StamkosC · #91 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:28 | 0.16 | 37.4% | +12.2 |
 Nick PerbixD · #48 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:09 | 0.30 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
 Alex KillornLW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:56 | 0.48 | 40.9% | 0.0 |
 Ian ColeD · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:27 | 0.01 | 50.6% | 0.0 |
 Brandon HagelLW · #38 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 16:30 | 0.17 | 42.3% | 0.0 |
 Nick PaulLW · #20 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:14 | 0.15 | 60.8% | 0.0 |
 Anthony CirelliC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:55 | 0.00 | 29.4% | 0.0 |
 Darren RaddyshD · #43 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 14:05 | 0.02 | 62.5% | 0.0 |
 Tanner JeannotLW · #84 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 33.8% | 0.0 |
 Patrick MaroonLW · #14 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:30 | 0.13 | 88.3% | +10.8 |
 Corey PerryRW · #10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.18 | 82.1% | +10.8 |
 Ross ColtonC · #79 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 10:27 | 0.35 | 76.1% | +10.8 |
 Michael EyssimontC · #23 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:52 | 0.13 | 30.5% | 0.0 |
 Andrei Vasilevskiy#88 | L | 20 | 17 | 3 | .850 | 2.20 | −0.8 | 59:15 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Mike MathesonD · #8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 25:31 | 0.10 | 48.6% | +14.6 |
 David SavardD · #58 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 23:45 | 0.01 | 38.6% | +14.6 |
 Joel EdmundsonD · #44 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 23:18 | 0.00 | 52.7% | 0.0 |
 Kirby DachC · #77 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 20:44 | 0.17 | 62.6% | +18.2 |
 Nick SuzukiC · #14 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 18:49 | 0.14 | 64.3% | +32.8 |
 Rafael Harvey-PinardLW · #49 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 1 | 17:58 | 0.42 | 64.3% | 0.0 |
 Mike HoffmanC · #68 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:48 | 0.16 | 56.3% | 0.0 |
 Justin BarronD · #52 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:27 | 0.04 | 69.5% | +12.9 |
 Jonathan DrouinLW · #27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:36 | 0.08 | 53.2% | +12.9 |
 Josh AndersonRW · #17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.10 | 38.2% | 0.0 |
 Johnathan KovacevicD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:20 | 0.05 | 38.9% | 0.0 |
 Alex BelzileRW · #60 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.35 | 59.5% | 0.0 |
 Denis GurianovRW · #25 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.24 | 52.6% | +12.9 |
 Brendan GallagherRW · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:58 | 0.10 | 54.5% | 0.0 |
 Chris TierneyC · #67 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.03 | 15.3% | 0.0 |
 Chris WidemanD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:41 | 0.01 | 43.6% | 0.0 |
 Rem PitlickC · #32 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:45 | 0.17 | 43.5% | 0.0 |
 Michael PezzettaLW · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 9:09 | 0.03 | 17.2% | 0.0 |
 Samuel Montembeault#35 | W | 33 | 31 | 2 | .939 | 2.81 | +0.8 | 60:00 |