Tue, Mar 21, 2023·Centre Bell, Montreal
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Montréal Canadiens 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 60% of the time.
30%
9%
9%
51%
MTL winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
MTL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Kucherov–Point–Hagel | Killorn–Stamkos–Paul | Cirelli–Eyssimont–Jeannot | Perry–Maroon–Colton | Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | Perry–Maroon–Eyssimont | Killorn–Paul–Hagel | Stamkos–Paul–Colton | Maroon–Cirelli–Jeannot | Hedman–Perbix | Cole–Cernak | Raddysh–Sergachev | Hedman–Sergachev | Hedman–Cernak | Sergachev–Perbix | Cernak–Sergachev | Hedman–Raddysh | Cole–Perbix | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Suzuki–Harvey-Pinard–Dach | 5:430.46–0.27 | 1:180.05–0.00 | 2:250.10–0.04 | 3:260.11–0.04 | 5:410.23–0.25 | 1:110.28–0.03 | ||||||||||||
| Hoffman–Gallagher–Belzile | 1:380.00–0.08 | 2:140.02–0.11 | 0:500.00–0.11 | 1:320.07–0.00 | 0:480.21–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 2:420.27–0.06 | 4:570.08–0.11 | 0:460.00–0.11 | 0:380.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Anderson–Drouin–Gurianov | 4:270.00–0.26 | 1:140.00–0.14 | 1:250.00–0.00 | 4:300.30–0.19 | 0:410.00–0.02 | 1:530.00–0.26 | 1:060.00–0.07 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 0:320.08–0.00 | |||||||||
| Tierney–Pitlick–Pezzetta | 1:500.04–0.00 | 2:140.00–0.55 | 1:170.01–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.19 | 3:550.10–0.37 | 1:320.00–0.00 | 0:510.00–0.02 | |||||||||||
| Hoffman–Suzuki–Dach | ||||||||||||||||||
| Savard–Matheson | 7:110.15–0.49 | 1:310.00–0.01 | 0:500.00–0.11 | 1:310.10–0.00 | 4:160.11–0.06 | 1:200.00–0.01 | 4:050.14–0.38 | 1:080.00–0.03 | 0:460.00–0.11 | |||||||||
| Edmundson–Barron | 3:530.05–0.26 | 0:410.00–0.00 | 0:520.21–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 3:440.51–0.19 | 2:420.00–0.13 | 1:390.05–0.03 | 0:390.00–0.07 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||||
| Wideman–Kovacevic | 1:580.01–0.10 | 2:290.02–0.18 | 1:410.07–0.00 | 0:460.00–0.04 | 0:440.00–0.01 | 2:290.02–0.19 | 4:400.27–0.11 | 1:380.00–0.04 | 0:510.00–0.02 | |||||||||
| Savard–Edmundson | 0:580.04–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:540.00–0.25 | 1:280.07–0.04 | 2:010.07–0.04 | 0:470.00–0.25 | 1:450.04–0.01 | |||||||||||
| Matheson–Barron | 0:520.00–0.00 | 0:410.01–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||
| Edmundson–Matheson | 1:020.00–0.05 | 1:120.00–0.05 | 0:370.28–0.00 | |||||||||||||||
| Matheson–Kovacevic | 0:310.00–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Edmundson–Kovacevic | 0:330.00–0.12 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.12 |
Every shift, one row per player.
MTLTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Mike MathesonMTL | 22 | 25:31 | 1:10 | 2:05 | 0 | 4 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 23 | 23:56 | 1:02 | 2:23 | 6 | 1 |
 David SavardMTL | 23 | 23:45 | 1:02 | 2:12 | 0 | 6 |
 Joel EdmundsonMTL | 23 | 23:18 | 1:01 | 1:47 | 3 | 3 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 27 | 23:16 | 0:52 | 1:55 | 4 | 4 |
 Kirby DachMTL | 23 | 20:44 | 0:54 | 1:36 | 1 | 5 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 23 | 20:08 | 0:53 | 2:08 | 7 | 0 |
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 23 | 19:39 | 0:51 | 1:58 | 7 | 1 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 23 | 19:18 | 0:50 | 1:38 | 1 | 3 |
 Nick SuzukiMTL | 22 | 18:49 | 0:51 | 1:39 | 1 | 4 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 20 | 18:28 | 0:55 | 2:07 | 6 | 4 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 22 | 18:09 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 1 | 3 |
 Rafael Harvey-PinardMTL | 22 | 17:58 | 0:49 | 1:32 | 2 | 6 |
 Alex KillornTBL | 19 | 17:56 | 0:57 | 1:37 | 7 | 4 |
 Mike HoffmanMTL | 18 | 17:48 | 0:59 | 2:19 | 0 | 1 |
 Justin BarronMTL | 21 | 17:27 | 0:50 | 1:47 | 3 | 0 |
 Ian ColeTBL | 18 | 17:27 | 0:58 | 1:48 | 0 | 2 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 21 | 16:30 | 0:47 | 1:16 | 4 | 0 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 18 | 16:14 | 0:54 | 1:24 | 5 | 2 |
 Jonathan DrouinMTL | 20 | 15:36 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 3 | 4 |
 Josh AndersonMTL | 19 | 15:27 | 0:49 | 1:11 | 3 | 5 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 19 | 14:55 | 0:47 | 1:31 | 2 | 5 |
 Johnathan KovacevicMTL | 18 | 14:20 | 0:48 | 1:21 | 1 | 2 |
 Alex BelzileMTL | 17 | 14:17 | 0:50 | 1:10 | 0 | 1 |
 Denis GurianovMTL | 18 | 14:11 | 0:47 | 1:09 | 3 | 4 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 15 | 14:05 | 0:56 | 1:38 | 4 | 0 |
 Brendan GallagherMTL | 18 | 13:58 | 0:47 | 1:12 | 1 | 1 |
 Tanner JeannotTBL | 14 | 12:01 | 0:52 | 1:27 | 1 | 0 |
 Chris TierneyMTL | 14 | 11:48 | 0:51 | 1:37 | 1 | 2 |
 Chris WidemanMTL | 15 | 11:41 | 0:47 | 1:17 | 1 | 0 |
 Patrick MaroonTBL | 14 | 11:30 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 1 | 0 |
 Corey PerryTBL | 15 | 10:54 | 0:44 | 1:19 | 2 | 0 |
 Ross ColtonTBL | 14 | 10:27 | 0:45 | 1:08 | 2 | 1 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 12 | 9:52 | 0:49 | 1:18 | 1 | 1 |
 Rem PitlickMTL | 13 | 9:45 | 0:45 | 1:15 | 1 | 0 |
 Michael PezzettaMTL | 13 | 9:09 | 0:42 | 1:12 | 1 | 0 |