Sat, Mar 25, 2023·TD Garden, Boston
Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Boston Bruins 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.
59%
9%
8%
24%
BOS winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 25:27 | 0.16 | 25.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 23:57 | 0.22 | 45.8% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:04 | 0.19 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 20:19 | 0.22 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:12 | 0.37 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:49 | 0.02 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:46 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:39 | 0.12 | 27.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:20 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:10 | 0.07 | 14.6% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 17:06 | 0.16 | 20.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:34 | 0.03 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:08 | 0.11 | 36.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:26 | 0.04 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 9:56 | 0.00 | 100.0% | +18.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:21 | 0.00 | 17.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:46 | 0.25 | 9.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 6:45 | 0.00 | 0.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 32 | 2 | .941 | 2.96 | +1.0 | 59:01 |
Boston Bruins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 24:11 | 0.02 | 58.6% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 23:42 | 0.29 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 5 | 21:06 | 0.46 | 71.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:43 | 0.00 | 57.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:03 | 0.14 | 31.8% | +16.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 18:25 | 0.30 | 24.4% | +16.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:52 | 0.01 | 77.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:02 | 0.14 | 71.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:00 | 0.33 | 46.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.16 | 76.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:47 | 0.05 | 74.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:53 | 0.00 | 50.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:00 | 0.13 | 75.1% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 13:39 | 0.36 | 92.8% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:16 | 0.06 | 74.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:19 | 0.10 | 68.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 7:27 | 0.28 | 97.2% | +22.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 6:36 | 0.14 | 89.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 27 | 26 | 1 | .963 | 1.97 | +1.0 | 60:00 |