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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 25, 2023·TD Garden, Boston

Tampa Bay Lightning 1, Boston Bruins 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Boston Bruins win this game 68% of the time.

BOS winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BOS forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kucherov–Point–HagelMaroon–Paul–ColtonPerry–Bellemare–JeannotKillorn–Stamkos–CirelliStamkos–Kucherov–PointKillorn–Paul–PointPaul–Point–HagelMaroon–Stamkos–PaulStamkos–Kucherov–HagelHedman–PerbixRaddysh–SergachevCole–CernakSergachev–PerbixCernak–SergachevHedman–RaddyshHedman–CernakHedman–Sergachev
Krejci–Pastrnak–Zacha0:360.00–0.001:440.12–0.032:560.00–0.000:340.06–0.003:490.08–0.031:280.19–0.002:300.20–0.000:390.00–0.00
Coyle–Bertuzzi–Frederic1:120.05–0.000:580.00–0.001:200.17–0.070:370.00–0.001:280.00–0.011:450.17–0.001:570.00–0.000:370.00–0.070:390.05–0.00
Bergeron–Marchand–DeBrusk2:520.00–0.290:520.05–0.000:470.08–0.031:150.03–0.103:110.01–0.230:580.04–0.00
Hathaway–Nosek–Lauko2:170.06–0.021:550.06–0.001:070.16–0.021:210.00–0.00
Lindholm–Carlo2:080.19–0.050:370.00–0.020:570.00–0.001:070.08–0.030:530.00–0.000:590.01–0.000:420.00–0.002:060.04–0.053:110.16–0.070:560.00–0.000:550.00–0.000:420.00–0.030:480.05–0.00
Orlov–Clifton0:450.06–0.033:460.08–0.031:480.00–0.001:290.17–0.013:590.08–0.041:520.22–0.012:430.00–0.00
Grzelcyk–McAvoy2:210.00–0.101:140.10–0.000:450.00–0.001:300.01–0.000:340.06–0.002:520.06–0.123:100.20–0.042:410.20–0.00
Orlov–McAvoy0:480.00–0.090:480.00–0.09
Grzelcyk–Carlo0:310.00–0.000:340.16–0.050:440.00–0.00
Lindholm–McAvoy0:450.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHathaway FNosek FLauko FBergeron FMarchand FDeBrusk FPastrnak FKrejci FBertuzzi FZacha FCoyle FFrederic FClifton DOrlov DLindholm DMcAvoy DGrzelcyk DCarlo DUllmark GMaroon FPaul FColton FHagel FCirelli FBellemare FKillorn FPerry FKucherov FPoint FStamkos FJeannot FPerbix DHedman DCole DCernak DSergachev DRaddysh DVasilevskiy G
BOSTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Mikhail SergachevTBL2725:270:571:3443
Hampus LindholmBOS2824:110:522:0742
Victor HedmanTBL2723:570:532:0443
Dmitry OrlovBOS2623:420:552:0122
David PastrnakBOS2121:061:002:0791
Brayden PointTBL2221:040:572:2972
Charlie McAvoyBOS2920:430:431:2254
Nikita KucherovTBL2420:190:512:2952
Brad MarchandBOS2420:030:501:5784
Brandon HagelTBL2519:120:461:3666
Patrice BergeronBOS2618:250:431:2585
Nick PaulTBL2217:490:491:5442
Erik CernakTBL2117:460:512:2605
Anthony CirelliTBL2517:390:421:4025
Ian ColeTBL2017:200:522:0205
Alex KillornTBL2717:100:381:0933
Steven StamkosTBL2217:060:471:4021
Brandon CarloBOS2216:520:461:4512
David KrejciBOS1916:020:511:1032
Jake DeBruskBOS2316:000:421:3873
Pavel ZachaBOS1915:590:501:1842
Charlie CoyleBOS2115:470:451:2124
Tyler BertuzziBOS1714:530:531:1711
Nick PerbixTBL1814:340:491:5423
Matt GrzelcykBOS2014:000:421:2342
Tomas NosekBOS1913:390:431:3502
Connor CliftonBOS2013:160:401:1113
Darren RaddyshTBL1813:080:441:2641
Trent FredericBOS1411:190:491:2720
Ross ColtonTBL1610:260:391:4723
Pierre-Edouard BellemareTBL169:560:370:5212
Patrick MaroonTBL129:210:471:5412
Corey PerryTBL138:460:402:0110
Garnet HathawayBOS167:270:280:5201
Tanner JeannotTBL106:450:411:0300
Jakub LaukoBOS136:360:301:3300