Sat, Mar 25, 2023·PNC Arena, Raleigh
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 90% of the time.
87%
CAR winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:36 | 0.32 | 64.6% | 0.0 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 15 | 22:19 | 1.74 | 86.7% | +58.0 |
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 0 | 21:48 | 0.04 | 68.0% | +50.5 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:43 | 0.26 | 79.8% | +13.7 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 9 | 20:40 | 1.90 | 39.7% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:45 | 0.00 | 85.0% | 0.0 |
 Michael BuntingLW · #58 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:52 | 0.63 | 55.5% | +36.7 |
 Justin HollD · #3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:40 | 0.15 | 51.5% | 0.0 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:00 | 0.20 | 72.2% | +13.7 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:51 | 0.30 | 76.2% | 0.0 |
 Noel AcciariC · #52 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:39 | 0.12 | 71.1% | 0.0 |
 Mark GiordanoD · #55 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:46 | 0.00 | 49.6% | 0.0 |
 Alexander KerfootC · #15 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:24 | 0.00 | 68.1% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:18 | 0.13 | 58.2% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:39 | 0.01 | 50.0% | 0.0 |
 Luke SchennD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 11:18 | 0.02 | 59.9% | 0.0 |
 Sam LaffertyC · #28 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:44 | 0.22 | 63.9% | 0.0 |
 Zachary Aston-ReeseLW · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:00 | 0.28 | 72.0% | 0.0 |
 Matt Murray#30 | L | 27 | 23 | 4 | .852 | 2.18 | −1.8 | 58:44 |
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jaccob SlavinD · #74 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 22:49 | 0.03 | 34.1% | +37.9 |
 Brent BurnsD · #8 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:33 | 0.20 | 29.6% | +16.6 |
 Brady SkjeiD · #76 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 22:14 | 0.02 | 34.8% | 0.0 |
 Teuvo TeravainenC · #86 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 22:06 | 0.66 | 23.6% | +5.9 |
 Brett PesceD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:15 | 0.01 | 25.7% | 0.0 |
 Sebastian AhoC · #20 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 20:59 | 0.33 | 29.0% | +43.8 |
 Martin NecasC · #88 | 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.14 | 27.6% | +54.5 |
 Jordan MartinookLW · #48 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:35 | 0.13 | 26.1% | +12.6 |
 Jordan StaalC · #11 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:48 | 0.27 | 27.3% | +12.6 |
 Shayne GostisbehereD · #41 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:06 | 0.13 | 34.7% | +16.6 |
 Jesper FastRW · #71 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 0 | 15:00 | 0.00 | 28.5% | +18.5 |
 Jalen ChatfieldD · #5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:55 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 |
 Seth JarvisRW · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:54 | 0.00 | 41.6% | 0.0 |
 Jesperi KotkaniemiC · #82 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 12:50 | 0.17 | 37.9% | +27.0 |
 Stefan NoesenRW · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 12:25 | 0.43 | 47.2% | +27.0 |
 Jack DruryC · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:20 | 0.10 | 47.7% | 0.0 |
 Jesse PuljujarviRW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:57 | 0.17 | 33.3% | 0.0 |
 Derek StepanC · #21 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:54 | 0.00 | 39.4% | 0.0 |
 Pyotr Kochetkov#52 | W | 44 | 41 | 3 | .932 | 6.32 | +3.3 | 60:00 |