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Ice Lab

Sat, Mar 25, 2023·PNC Arena, Raleigh

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Carolina Hurricanes 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 90% of the time.

CAR winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CAR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Jarnkrok–Marner–MatthewsTavares–Nylander–BuntingKerfoot–Lafferty–AcciariAcciari–Aston-Reese–KampfKerfoot–Acciari–KampfNylander–Aston-Reese–KampfLafferty–Aston-Reese–KampfBrodie–McCabeGiordano–HollSchenn–RiellyRielly–LiljegrenBrodie–RiellyHoll–Liljegren
Teravainen–Aho–Necas1:190.01–0.416:100.25–0.182:240.02–0.183:020.01–0.141:100.16–0.211:550.09–0.03
Noesen–Kotkaniemi–Jarvis3:350.03–0.091:470.00–0.241:390.00–0.313:190.30–0.001:260.00–0.151:170.13–0.07
Staal–Fast–Martinook5:540.28–0.540:350.07–0.003:450.30–0.482:440.13–0.09
Stepan–Puljujarvi–Drury2:450.01–0.041:180.00–0.002:000.01–0.071:490.00–0.031:080.00–0.01
Martinook–Aho–Necas2:330.14–0.091:250.00–0.091:180.01–0.000:570.00–0.000:400.14–0.40
Staal–Fast–Teravainen2:470.00–0.160:350.00–0.090:300.00–0.000:360.00–0.221:050.00–0.031:210.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Burns–Slavin2:100.09–0.395:190.39–0.140:540.00–0.001:420.01–0.110:440.00–0.001:190.00–0.000:480.04–0.005:140.12–0.334:520.14–0.111:520.16–0.352:440.14–0.431:040.00–0.01
Skjei–Pesce7:250.19–0.724:150.16–0.230:520.01–0.000:330.00–0.073:510.14–0.593:460.00–0.164:020.13–0.091:570.21–0.070:450.00–0.33
Gostisbehere–Chatfield0:360.00–0.001:160.00–0.002:270.00–0.171:290.00–0.011:000.00–0.173:320.00–0.312:490.18–0.082:050.00–0.000:320.00–0.01
Burns–Gostisbehere1:080.03–0.001:090.03–0.00
Slavin–Pesce0:340.00–0.08
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndStaal FMartinook FFast FAho FTeravainen FNecas FNoesen FPuljujarvi FDrury FJarvis FKotkaniemi FStepan FPesce DSkjei DBurns DSlavin DGostisbehere DChatfield DKochetkov GMarner FJarnkrok FMatthews FNylander FBunting FTavares FKampf FAcciari FKerfoot FLafferty FAston-Reese FSchenn DRielly DMcCabe DBrodie DHoll DLiljegren DGiordano DMurray G
CARTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Jaccob SlavinCAR2722:490:511:5746
William NylanderTOR2322:360:592:1632
Brent BurnsCAR2922:330:471:5454
Auston MatthewsTOR2422:190:562:0321
Brady SkjeiCAR2622:140:511:4125
Teuvo TeravainenCAR2622:060:511:3533
Morgan RiellyTOR2521:480:522:1361
Mitch MarnerTOR2621:430:501:5942
Brett PesceCAR2521:150:511:4414
Sebastian AhoCAR2420:590:521:3534
John TavaresTOR2120:400:592:1132
TJ BrodieTOR2319:450:521:3312
Martin NecasCAR2119:200:551:4432
Michael BuntingTOR2318:520:491:1141
Jordan MartinookCAR2418:350:461:2425
Jordan StaalCAR2417:480:451:2015
Justin HollTOR2317:400:461:5804
Calle JarnkrokTOR2617:000:391:0922
Jake McCabeTOR2416:510:421:1613
Noel AcciariTOR2016:390:501:4611
Shayne GostisbehereCAR2015:060:451:1460
Jesper FastCAR2415:000:381:0913
Mark GiordanoTOR2114:460:421:5903
Jalen ChatfieldCAR2013:550:421:0542
Alexander KerfootTOR1613:240:501:2713
David KampfTOR1813:180:441:1616
Seth JarvisCAR1512:540:521:4431
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1412:500:551:4721
Stefan NoesenCAR1612:250:471:1651
Timothy LiljegrenTOR1611:390:441:1721
Luke SchennTOR1711:180:401:1211
Sam LaffertyTOR149:440:421:0802
Jack DruryCAR108:200:501:2020
Zachary Aston-ReeseTOR138:000:371:0402
Jesse PuljujarviCAR107:570:481:3120
Derek StepanCAR97:540:531:3320