Thu, Apr 13, 2023·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Ottawa Senators 3, Buffalo Sabres 4 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 71% of the time.
63%
23%
BUF winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 7 | 29:52 | 0.19 | 49.2% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:43 | 0.01 | 44.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 23:13 | 0.08 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 1 | 22:53 | 0.11 | 43.8% | +34.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:50 | 0.00 | 27.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:07 | 0.20 | 45.9% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 6 | 19:16 | 0.55 | 45.1% | +22.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:11 | 0.18 | 28.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.23 | 55.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:09 | 0.08 | 37.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 15:46 | 0.14 | 27.3% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:18 | 0.00 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:11 | 0.02 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 11:05 | 0.30 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 9:23 | 0.17 | 43.5% | +20.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 8:47 | 0.17 | 52.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:47 | 0.00 | 47.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 6:44 | 0.00 | 51.0% | +20.1 |
| O | 36 | 32 | 4 | .889 | 3.71 | −0.3 | 61:18 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 27:17 | 0.13 | 63.5% | +48.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:00 | 0.06 | 43.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 23:38 | 0.07 | 58.8% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:15 | 0.03 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.02 | 79.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:46 | 0.71 | 66.7% | +28.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 18:33 | 0.27 | 60.6% | +67.4 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 16:54 | 0.69 | 66.6% | +96.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 16:20 | 0.16 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.24 | 35.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 8 | 15:43 | 0.62 | 84.0% | +28.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:29 | 0.08 | 30.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.17 | 37.9% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 12:08 | 0.06 | 40.6% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:06 | 0.17 | 81.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 10:57 | 0.23 | 72.1% | +13.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:04 | 0.01 | 59.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:54 | 0.01 | 52.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 33 | 30 | 3 | .909 | 2.44 | −0.6 | 61:18 |