Tue, Oct 10, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Nashville Predators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.
Play-by-play
Model-basedEvery event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.
- P1 0:00Period start
- P1 1:01Shot by Raddysh, saved by Saros
- P1 1:10Shot by Point, saved by Saros
- P1 1:47Shot by Jeannot, saved by Saros
- P1 2:57Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Saros
- P1 7:15Shot by Trenin, saved by Johansson
- P1 8:26Shot by Sherwood, saved by Johansson
- P1 9:24Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros
- P1 9:48Goal by Kucherov (Hedman, Point)+17 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Perbix · NSH Schenn, Josi, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Parssinen
- P1 10:15Shot by Cernak, saved by Saros
- P1 10:37Shot by Glendening, saved by Saros
- P1 11:02Shot by Point, saved by Saros
- P1 11:33Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros
- P1 11:48Shot by Hagel, saved by Saros
- P1 12:05Perbix: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Hedman, Motte, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix · NSH O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg, Lauzon, Parssinen
- P1 14:18Sissons: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh · NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Trenin, Carrier, Tomasino
- P1 14:27Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros5v4
- P1 19:30Josi: Slashing (2 min)
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, Jeannot, Perbix · NSH Schenn, Josi, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Evangelista
- P1 0:00Period end5v4
- P2 0:00Period start
- P2 0:53Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros5v4
- P2 2:07Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros
- P2 3:12Shot by Cirelli, saved by Saros
- P2 4:00Shot by Cernak, saved by Saros
- P2 4:43Shot by Lauzon, saved by Johansson
- P2 4:44Shot by Sissons, saved by Johansson
- P2 4:50Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johansson
- P2 5:12Shot by Raddysh, saved by Saros
- P2 10:04Stamkos: Tripping (2 min)5v6
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Perbix · NSH Schenn, Josi, O'Reilly, Novak, Tomasino, Evangelista
- P2 10:33Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Johansson4v5
- P2 11:29Shot by Glass, saved by Johansson4v5
- P2 11:30Shot by Josi, saved by Johansson4v5
- P2 13:15Shot by Sissons, saved by Johansson5v6
- P2 13:18Sergachev: Holding (2 min)5v6
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev · NSH Schenn, Forsberg, Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Sherwood
- P2 13:26Shot by Forsberg, saved by Johansson4v5
- P2 15:43Shot by Novak, saved by Johansson
- P2 16:15Goal by O'Reilly (Forsberg, McDonagh)+23 pts WP
On ice: TBL Hedman, Sheary, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix · NSH Schenn, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Lauzon, Parssinen
- P2 17:37Shot by Nyquist, saved by Johansson
- P2 17:45Shot by McDonagh, saved by Johansson
- P2 19:31Shot by Smith, saved by Johansson
- P2 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Period start
- P3 0:11Goal by Parssinen (Forsberg, O'Reilly)+25 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Perbix · NSH McDonagh, O'Reilly, Forsberg, Carrier, Parssinen
- P3 0:36Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Johansson
- P3 0:36Shot by Forsberg, saved by Johansson
- P3 0:37Shot by Forsberg, saved by Johansson
- P3 0:37Shot by Forsberg, saved by Johansson
- P3 0:56Shot by Barrie, saved by Johansson
- P3 1:17Josi: Interference (2 min)
On ice: TBL Glendening, Raddysh, Sergachev, Jeannot, Merela · NSH Josi, Nyquist, Barrie, Glass, Sherwood
- P3 1:58Shot by Stamkos, saved by Saros5v4
- P3 2:16Shot by Point, saved by Saros5v4
- P3 2:24Shot by Paul, saved by Saros5v4
- P3 2:25Goal by Paul (Point, Stamkos)5v4+24 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point · NSH McDonagh, Sissons, Carrier, Smith
- P3 3:07Schenn: Penalty shot holding on breakaway (0 min)
On ice: TBL de Haan, Sheary, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · NSH Schenn, Nyquist, Lauzon, Glass, Parssinen
- P3 3:07Goal by Hagel, unassistedother+26 pts WP
On ice: TBL de Haan, Sheary, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel · NSH Schenn, Nyquist, Lauzon, Glass, Parssinen
- P3 6:27Shot by Hedman, saved by Saros
- P3 6:43Shot by Perbix, saved by Saros
- P3 7:06Kucherov: Hooking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Cernak · NSH Nyquist, Lauzon, Carrier, Glass, Parssinen
- P3 7:33Shot by Glass, saved by Johansson4v5
- P3 8:14Shot by O'Reilly, saved by Johansson4v5
- P3 8:48Goal by Novak (Tomasino, Nyquist)4v5+29 pts WP
On ice: TBL Hedman, de Haan, Glendening, Paul · NSH Nyquist, Novak, Carrier, Tomasino, Evangelista
- P3 9:44Lauzon: High sticking (2 min)
On ice: TBL Hedman, Paul, Sheary, Eyssimont, Perbix · NSH Schenn, Sissons, Lauzon, Trenin, Smith
- P3 9:52Shot by Kucherov, saved by Saros5v4
- P3 10:40Shot by Stamkos, saved by Saros5v4
- P3 10:49Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros5v4
- P3 10:52Goal by Paul (Sergachev, Point)5v4+27 pts WP
On ice: TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Paul, Point, Sergachev · NSH Schenn, Josi, Sissons, Smith
- P3 11:12Tomasino: Delaying game puck over glass (2 min)
On ice: TBL Sheary, Raddysh, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel · NSH Josi, Barrie, Novak, Tomasino, Evangelista
- P3 11:50Shot by McDonagh, saved by Johansson5v4
- P3 13:37Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Saros
- P3 15:16Shot by Forsberg, saved by Johansson
- P3 15:52Shot by Raddysh, saved by Saros
- P3 15:55Shot by Hagel, saved by Saros
- P3 16:19Shot by Sergachev, saved by Saros
- P3 16:48Shot by Sissons, saved by Johansson
- P3 17:21Shot by Hagel, saved by Saros
- P3 18:11Shot by Forsberg, saved by Johansson5v6
- P3 18:12Shot by Parssinen, saved by Johansson5v6
- P3 18:25Shot by Josi, saved by Johansson5v6
- P3 19:48Shot by Novak, saved by Johansson5v6
- P3 19:58Goal by Kucherov (Paul)5v6+2 pts WP
On ice: TBL Kucherov, Paul, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev · NSH Josi, O'Reilly, Barrie, Forsberg, Sissons, Novak
- P3 0:00Period end
- P3 0:00Final