Tue, Oct 10, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Nashville Predators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.
49%
8%
35%
TBL winsNSH wins
Nashville Predators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 25:37 | 0.28 | 17.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 21:59 | 0.70 | 79.4% | +48.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:18 | 0.02 | 30.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20:51 | 0.89 | 73.9% | +48.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:48 | 0.04 | 76.2% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 20:39 | 0.00 | 81.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 15:43 | 0.31 | 46.8% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:29 | 0.35 | 8.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:11 | 0.00 | 33.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 14:53 | 0.21 | 20.2% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 14:45 | 0.23 | 69.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.11 | 69.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 13:43 | 0.29 | 56.0% | +25.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 13:30 | 0.00 | 13.2% | +28.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:21 | 0.01 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:52 | 0.24 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.10 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:54 | 0.15 | 63.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 33 | 29 | 4 | .879 | 3.68 | −0.3 | 57:16 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 26:55 | 0.43 | 19.0% | +17.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:00 | 0.07 | 53.8% | +27.0 | |
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 22:13 | 0.40 | 27.4% | +68.4 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 21:19 | 0.98 | 30.8% | +19.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:23 | 0.40 | 21.5% | +24.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:20 | 0.04 | 94.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 18:07 | 0.82 | 78.8% | +26.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 18:04 | 0.09 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.06 | 83.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 3 | 16:12 | 0.88 | 58.0% | +52.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:01 | 0.04 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:41 | 0.00 | 82.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:04 | 0.00 | 76.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:48 | 0.09 | 60.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 11:42 | 0.00 | 13.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.00 | 50.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 8:31 | 0.10 | 50.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:55 | 0.00 | 91.3% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.95 | +0.9 | 60:00 |