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Ice Lab

Tue, Oct 10, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Nashville Predators 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 58% of the time.

TBL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

O'Reilly–Forsberg–ParssinenNovak–Tomasino–EvangelistaSissons–Trenin–SmithNyquist–Glass–SherwoodNyquist–Glass–ParssinenNyquist–O'Reilly–ForsbergForsberg–Sissons–TreninO'Reilly–Tomasino–ParssinenMcDonagh–CarrierJosi–BarrieSchenn–JosiSchenn–LauzonBarrie–LauzonLauzon–Carrier
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point0:530.06–1.021:300.00–0.001:490.19–0.111:180.13–0.090:370.00–0.000:410.01–0.003:460.08–1.150:580.04–0.002:210.30–0.090:520.00–0.130:560.01–0.11
Glendening–Jeannot–Merela0:420.00–0.001:290.05–0.061:320.06–0.001:120.05–0.031:440.04–0.000:340.00–0.001:360.02–0.06
Paul–Sheary–Eyssimont0:420.02–0.001:340.16–0.001:060.02–0.000:360.00–0.002:260.21–0.170:350.00–0.001:020.03–0.000:370.00–0.000:340.00–0.00
Motte–Cirelli–Hagel3:110.02–0.000:550.14–0.001:000.00–0.000:310.00–0.001:050.00–0.000:400.08–0.000:480.02–0.00
Sheary–Cirelli–Hagel1:080.01–0.110:400.00–0.020:340.71–0.000:350.00–0.000:530.00–0.001:150.24–0.021:250.47–0.11
Kucherov–Point–Hagel0:540.21–0.00
Glendening–Cirelli–Hagel0:330.00–0.031:000.00–0.03
Raddysh–Sergachev1:010.00–0.002:540.23–0.022:020.21–0.001:490.13–0.090:410.01–0.000:340.00–0.004:080.25–0.303:120.29–0.022:250.24–0.092:200.08–0.130:590.00–0.00
Hedman–Perbix2:360.08–1.130:570.02–0.001:550.00–0.170:430.04–0.000:350.00–0.003:180.02–1.021:360.08–0.001:280.09–0.001:020.00–0.112:220.02–0.17
de Haan–Cernak2:330.03–0.001:150.06–0.001:280.05–0.001:160.02–0.000:300.00–0.002:490.08–0.000:400.00–0.001:480.00–0.001:480.47–0.000:430.02–0.00
Hedman–Cernak0:400.00–0.000:330.00–0.030:470.00–0.001:240.16–0.03
Cernak–Sergachev0:410.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHagel FMotte FCirelli FKucherov FStamkos FPoint FMerela FGlendening FJeannot FSheary FPaul FEyssimont FPerbix DHedman DRaddysh DSergachev Dde Haan DCernak DJohansson GForsberg FParssinen FO'Reilly FSmith FTrenin FSissons FGlass FNyquist FSherwood FTomasino FNovak FEvangelista FMcDonagh DCarrier DJosi DSchenn DLauzon DBarrie DSaros G
TBLNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2626:551:022:2453
Roman JosiNSH2525:371:012:5991
Mikhail SergachevTBL2523:000:551:5215
Brayden PointTBL2422:130:562:1982
Ryan O'ReillyNSH2321:590:572:5646
Nikita KucherovTBL2421:190:532:2592
Tyson BarrieNSH2421:180:532:4791
Filip ForsbergNSH2220:510:572:5661
Ryan McDonaghNSH2720:480:461:1606
Alexandre CarrierNSH2920:390:431:1507
Steven StamkosTBL2220:230:561:4972
Erik CernakTBL2119:200:552:2314
Brandon HagelTBL2018:070:542:0724
Darren RaddyshTBL2318:040:471:4413
Anthony CirelliTBL2216:420:461:2926
Nick PaulTBL1916:120:511:4061
Tommy NovakNSH1715:430:551:5130
Cody GlassNSH1715:290:552:2461
Luke SchennNSH2515:110:360:5712
Gustav NyquistNSH2014:530:451:1632
Colton SissonsNSH2314:450:381:0834
Luke GlendeningTBL2314:010:371:0018
Yakov TreninNSH1813:540:461:2615
Juuso ParssinenNSH2013:430:411:1032
Calvin de HaanTBL1713:410:481:0920
Philip TomasinoNSH1813:300:451:4620
Jeremy LauzonNSH2313:210:351:0403
Cole SmithNSH1712:520:451:0804
Conor ShearyTBL1712:040:431:2622
Luke EvangelistaNSH1712:010:421:0730
Tanner JeannotTBL1511:480:471:2911
Nick PerbixTBL1811:420:391:3032
Waltteri MerelaTBL1610:210:391:0312
Michael EyssimontTBL148:310:371:0521
Tyler MotteTBL107:550:481:3712
Kiefer SherwoodNSH137:540:361:0321