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Ice Lab

Sat, Oct 14, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Detroit Red Wings 6

Away

Tampa Bay Lightning

4

Final

Home

Detroit Red Wings

6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 82% of the time.

DET winsTBL wins

Play-by-play

Model-based

Every event the NHL recorded. Goals show how much they moved the win probability, and who was on the ice.

  1. P1 0:00Period start
  2. P1 0:21Shot by Glendening, saved by Husso
  3. P1 1:03Shot by Sergachev, saved by Husso
  4. P1 2:25Shot by Paul, saved by Husso
  5. P1 3:21Shot by Raymond, saved by Johansson
  6. P1 4:39Shot by Copp, saved by Johansson
  7. P1 5:10Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Johansson
  8. P1 5:11Goal by Sprong (DeBrincat)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Maatta, Gostisbehere, Compher, Sprong, DeBrincat · TBL Stamkos, de Haan, Cernak, Cirelli, Hagel

  9. P1 5:40Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Johansson
  10. P1 5:44Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Johansson
  11. P1 7:10Shot by Kostin, saved by Johansson
  12. P1 7:11Shot by Fischer, saved by Johansson
  13. P1 7:43Shot by Sheary, saved by Husso
  14. P1 7:44Shot by Sheary, saved by Husso
  15. P1 9:26Shot by Walman, saved by Johansson
  16. P1 9:46Goal by Stamkos (Hedman, Kucherov)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Copp, Walman, Kostin, Seider · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Point, Perbix

  17. P1 10:12Shot by Stamkos, saved by Husso
  18. P1 11:37Shot by Larkin, saved by Johansson
  19. P1 12:02Shot by de Haan, saved by Husso
  20. P1 12:52Goal by Hagel (Hedman)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Perron, Chiarot, Maatta, Copp, Rasmussen · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix

  21. P1 13:29Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Husso
  22. P1 13:58Shot by Larkin, saved by Johansson
  23. P1 14:35Goal by DeBrincat (Gostisbehere)+17 pts WP

    On ice: DET Holl, Gostisbehere, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond · TBL Glendening, Raddysh, Sergachev, Jeannot, Merela

  24. P1 16:54Cirelli: Interference (2 min)

    On ice: DET Maatta, Gostisbehere, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond · TBL de Haan, Paul, Cernak, Cirelli, Eyssimont

  25. P1 17:45Shot by Larkin, saved by Johansson5v4
  26. P1 17:50Shot by Larkin, saved by Johansson5v4
  27. P1 0:00Period end
  28. P2 0:00Period start
  29. P2 1:44Shot by Hagel, saved by Husso
  30. P2 2:01Goal by Raymond, unassisted+19 pts WP

    On ice: DET Larkin, Walman, DeBrincat, Seider, Raymond · TBL Hedman, Kucherov, Sheary, Point, Perbix

  31. P2 3:12Shot by Larkin, saved by Johansson
  32. P2 4:42Shot by Copp, saved by Johansson
  33. P2 5:11Shot by Sprong, saved by Johansson
  34. P2 5:28Shot by Walman, saved by Johansson
  35. P2 5:36Shot by Sprong, saved by Johansson
  36. P2 5:37Shot by Perron, saved by Johansson
  37. P2 6:18Shot by Larkin, saved by Johansson
  38. P2 6:56Shot by Hedman, saved by Husso
  39. P2 7:03Shot by Raddysh, saved by Husso
  40. P2 7:51Shot by Perron, saved by Johansson
  41. P2 8:01Shot by Hagel, saved by Husso
  42. P2 8:40Shot by Raymond, saved by Johansson
  43. P2 9:09Shot by Walman, saved by Johansson
  44. P2 9:12Shot by Gostisbehere, saved by Johansson
  45. P2 10:06Shot by Rasmussen, saved by Johansson
  46. P2 10:07Shot by Copp, saved by Johansson
  47. P2 10:12Shot by Petry, saved by Johansson
  48. P2 10:53Goal by Stamkos (Hagel, Cirelli)+21 pts WP

    On ice: DET Petry, Larkin, Rasmussen, Seider, Raymond · TBL Stamkos, Fleury, Cirelli, Hagel, Perbix

  49. P2 13:13Shot by Hagel, saved by Husso
  50. P2 13:27Shot by Kostin, saved by Johansson
  51. P2 14:22Shot by Raymond, saved by Johansson
  52. P2 14:24Shot by DeBrincat, saved by Johansson
  53. P2 15:23Goal by Compher (Seider, Copp)+23 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Compher, Walman, Rasmussen, Seider · TBL Kucherov, Sheary, Raddysh, Cirelli, Sergachev

  54. P2 17:31Shot by Stamkos, saved by Husso
  55. P2 18:25Shot by Petry, saved by Johansson
  56. P2 18:39Shot by Sprong, saved by Johansson
  57. P2 18:57Sprong: Holding (2 min)

    On ice: DET Petry, Perron, Maatta, Sprong, Veleno · TBL Kucherov, Point, Raddysh, Sergachev, Eyssimont

  58. P2 0:00Period end4v5
  59. P3 0:00Period start
  60. P3 0:24Shot by Stamkos, saved by Husso4v5
  61. P3 1:29Shot by Sprong, saved by Johansson
  62. P3 1:38Shot by Larkin, saved by Johansson
  63. P3 4:44Goal by DeBrincat (Larkin)+13 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Holl, Larkin, DeBrincat, Raymond · TBL Paul, Raddysh, Cirelli, Sergachev, Hagel

  64. P3 6:19Shot by Raymond, saved by Johansson
  65. P3 8:02Shot by Sprong, saved by Johansson
  66. P3 8:42Shot by Kucherov, saved by Husso
  67. P3 8:51Walman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Compher, Walman, Fischer, DeBrincat, Seider · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Perbix

  68. P3 8:51Point: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Compher, Walman, Fischer, DeBrincat, Seider · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Perbix

  69. P3 8:51Walman: Roughing (2 min)

    On ice: DET Compher, Walman, Fischer, DeBrincat, Seider · TBL Stamkos, Kucherov, Point, Sergachev, Perbix

  70. P3 9:39Goal by Hedman (Kucherov, Stamkos)4v5+11 pts WP

    On ice: DET Chiarot, Copp, Compher, Seider · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Hagel

  71. P3 10:21Shot by Veleno, saved by Johansson
  72. P3 13:01Shot by Stamkos, saved by Husso
  73. P3 13:33Shot by Hedman, saved by Husso
  74. P3 15:09Shot by Eyssimont, saved by Husso
  75. P3 17:34Shot by Kucherov, saved by Husso5v6
  76. P3 19:26Shot by Paul, saved by Husso5v6
  77. P3 19:59Goal by Seider (Compher)5v6+2 pts WP

    On ice: DET Copp, Compher, Larkin, Walman, Seider · TBL Stamkos, Hedman, Kucherov, Paul, Point, Sergachev

  78. P3 0:00Period end5v6
  79. P3 0:00Final5v6