Sat, Oct 14, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Detroit Red Wings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 82% of the time.
75%
13%
DET winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −2 | 2 | 23:30 | 0.17 | 31.5% | +28.5 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 23:21 | 0.21 | 34.6% | +45.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:52 | 0.11 | 33.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 21:30 | 0.04 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 21:18 | 0.00 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:03 | 0.23 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 19:19 | 0.30 | 40.7% | +37.9 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 6 | 18:11 | 0.49 | 47.7% | +49.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:33 | 0.02 | 21.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 16:30 | 0.30 | 37.0% | +21.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 15:35 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:40 | 0.13 | 18.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:34 | 0.03 | 20.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:27 | 0.01 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:01 | 0.00 | 32.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:39 | 0.03 | 15.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 11:19 | 0.28 | 28.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 10:08 | 0.00 | 29.2% | 0.0 |
| L | 41 | 36 | 5 | .878 | 4.06 | −0.9 | 57:30 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 22:43 | 0.49 | 63.8% | +24.5 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 1 | 21:03 | 0.13 | 54.5% | +24.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 3 | 20:38 | 0.21 | 67.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:16 | 0.24 | 32.2% | +22.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 7 | 19:00 | 0.98 | 81.2% | +13.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 18:31 | 0.40 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 5 | 18:24 | 0.28 | 80.4% | +47.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:21 | 0.00 | 67.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:35 | 0.19 | 74.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 5 | 17:04 | 0.75 | 79.8% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 15:32 | 0.01 | 67.6% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:23 | 0.05 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:00 | 0.11 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.01 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 6 | 13:20 | 0.43 | 75.6% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:56 | 0.00 | 79.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:53 | 0.17 | 84.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 5:41 | 0.11 | 73.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 21 | 4 | .840 | 2.35 | −1.7 | 60:00 |