Sat, Oct 14, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Tampa Bay Lightning 4, Detroit Red Wings 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 82% of the time.
75%
13%
DET winsTBL wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Glendening–Jeannot–Merela | Stamkos–Cirelli–Hagel | Stamkos–Kucherov–Point | Paul–Cirelli–Hagel | Kucherov–Sheary–Point | Kucherov–Paul–Eyssimont | Kucherov–Paul–Point | Kucherov–Point–Eyssimont | Paul–Sheary–Eyssimont | Kucherov–Point–Jeannot | Raddysh–Sergachev | Hedman–Perbix | de Haan–Cernak | Fleury–Cernak | de Haan–Raddysh | Cernak–Sergachev | Fleury–Raddysh | Hedman–Raddysh | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Larkin–DeBrincat–Raymond | 3:260.23–0.13 | 1:010.14–0.04 | 1:090.11–0.03 | 2:090.37–0.03 | 0:360.00–0.00 | 1:050.00–0.02 | 5:330.23–0.07 | 2:400.55–0.00 | 2:040.24–0.00 | 0:480.06–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.02 | 0:350.00–0.13 | ||||||
| Copp–Compher–Rasmussen | 1:050.00–0.00 | 1:040.07–0.13 | 2:260.00–0.02 | 0:420.00–0.06 | 2:220.20–0.00 | 1:100.00–0.01 | 1:570.00–0.06 | |||||||||||
| Perron–Sprong–Veleno | 0:400.00–0.00 | 1:000.04–0.15 | 0:350.13–0.00 | 0:410.14–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.00 | 0:350.13–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 0:410.00–0.15 | ||||||||||
| Perron–Copp–Rasmussen | 2:000.00–0.23 | 1:390.04–0.28 | 1:210.04–0.00 | 1:560.00–0.39 | ||||||||||||||
| Fischer–Kostin–Veleno | 1:120.00–0.01 | 0:470.02–0.07 | 0:330.00–0.01 | 1:240.02–0.07 | 0:360.26–0.00 | 0:300.01–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Compher–Sprong–Veleno | 1:250.00–0.08 | 0:520.00–0.01 | 0:350.00–0.07 | |||||||||||||||
| Larkin–Rasmussen–Raymond | ||||||||||||||||||
| Perron–Compher–Sprong | 0:330.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||||||||||||
| Perron–Fischer–Veleno | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Walman–Seider | 0:540.00–0.08 | 4:190.11–0.28 | 3:320.57–0.30 | 0:320.14–0.00 | 1:280.28–0.00 | 3:310.24–0.04 | 3:330.44–0.45 | 2:200.44–0.01 | 1:020.00–0.00 | 0:560.01–0.00 | ||||||||
| Petry–Chiarot | 2:370.04–0.13 | 2:110.25–0.06 | 0:400.00–0.01 | 1:280.04–0.01 | 3:050.25–0.00 | 1:070.26–0.00 | 0:440.00–0.00 | |||||||||||
| Holl–Gostisbehere | 2:120.04–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.03 | 1:210.04–0.06 | 2:360.08–0.00 | 0:470.00–0.00 | 1:190.00–0.06 | 0:410.00–0.07 | |||||||||||
| Chiarot–Holl | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:460.13–0.10 | 1:040.11–0.03 | 1:180.02–0.07 | 0:340.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Maatta–Gostisbehere | 1:110.08–0.01 | 0:590.51–0.10 | 1:050.00–0.02 | 1:210.07–0.01 | 1:090.36–0.00 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.10 | |||||||||||
| Petry–Maatta | 0:440.17–0.00 | 0:310.03–0.00 | 0:540.09–0.00 | 0:520.17–0.00 | 1:180.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Petry–Gostisbehere | 0:410.00–0.15 | 0:410.00–0.15 | ||||||||||||||||
| Holl–Maatta | 0:540.01–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Chiarot–Seider | 0:500.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||||||
| Chiarot–Gostisbehere | 1:160.01–0.00 | 0:480.01–0.00 |
Every shift, one row per player.
DETTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Nikita KucherovTBL | 24 | 23:30 | 0:59 | 2:30 | 2 | 1 |
 Victor HedmanTBL | 24 | 23:21 | 0:58 | 2:57 | 4 | 5 |
 Moritz SeiderDET | 28 | 22:43 | 0:49 | 1:38 | 2 | 3 |
 Brayden PointTBL | 24 | 21:52 | 0:55 | 2:33 | 4 | 1 |
 Mikhail SergachevTBL | 27 | 21:30 | 0:48 | 1:42 | 4 | 4 |
 Darren RaddyshTBL | 24 | 21:18 | 0:53 | 1:30 | 2 | 2 |
 J.T. CompherDET | 24 | 21:03 | 0:53 | 1:32 | 4 | 3 |
 Jake WalmanDET | 25 | 20:38 | 0:50 | 1:44 | 1 | 4 |
 Andrew CoppDET | 23 | 20:16 | 0:53 | 1:42 | 1 | 3 |
 Nick PaulTBL | 23 | 20:03 | 0:52 | 1:41 | 3 | 3 |
 Brandon HagelTBL | 24 | 19:19 | 0:48 | 1:50 | 3 | 2 |
 Dylan LarkinDET | 24 | 19:00 | 0:48 | 1:47 | 3 | 3 |
 Michael RasmussenDET | 22 | 18:31 | 0:51 | 1:49 | 3 | 2 |
 Alex DeBrincatDET | 25 | 18:24 | 0:44 | 1:44 | 3 | 2 |
 Ben ChiarotDET | 23 | 18:21 | 0:48 | 2:20 | 4 | 1 |
 Steven StamkosTBL | 22 | 18:11 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 3 | 2 |
 Joseph VelenoDET | 22 | 17:35 | 0:48 | 2:15 | 4 | 1 |
 Lucas RaymondDET | 24 | 17:04 | 0:43 | 1:25 | 3 | 3 |
 Erik CernakTBL | 20 | 16:33 | 0:50 | 1:43 | 0 | 3 |
 Anthony CirelliTBL | 21 | 16:30 | 0:47 | 1:48 | 3 | 3 |
 Nick PerbixTBL | 20 | 15:35 | 0:47 | 1:52 | 1 | 5 |
 Shayne GostisbehereDET | 19 | 15:32 | 0:49 | 1:23 | 1 | 1 |
 Jeff PetryDET | 19 | 15:23 | 0:49 | 1:17 | 2 | 1 |
 David PerronDET | 21 | 15:00 | 0:43 | 1:47 | 4 | 1 |
 Justin HollDET | 20 | 14:52 | 0:45 | 1:47 | 3 | 2 |
 Daniel SprongDET | 17 | 13:20 | 0:47 | 1:06 | 2 | 1 |
 Tanner JeannotTBL | 15 | 12:40 | 0:51 | 1:03 | 0 | 1 |
 Calvin de HaanTBL | 15 | 12:34 | 0:50 | 1:22 | 0 | 3 |
 Luke GlendeningTBL | 20 | 12:27 | 0:37 | 1:00 | 1 | 4 |
 Waltteri MerelaTBL | 17 | 12:01 | 0:42 | 0:59 | 0 | 2 |
 Olli MaattaDET | 16 | 11:56 | 0:45 | 1:10 | 1 | 1 |
 Christian FischerDET | 15 | 11:53 | 0:48 | 2:18 | 3 | 0 |
 Michael EyssimontTBL | 14 | 11:39 | 0:50 | 1:07 | 1 | 1 |
 Conor ShearyTBL | 15 | 11:19 | 0:45 | 1:21 | 3 | 1 |
 Haydn FleuryTBL | 13 | 10:08 | 0:47 | 1:28 | 0 | 1 |
 Klim KostinDET | 9 | 5:41 | 0:38 | 1:04 | 3 | 0 |