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Ice Lab

Sun, Oct 22, 2023·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Calgary Flames 2, Detroit Red Wings 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 60% of the time.

DET winsCGY wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CGY's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kadri–Huberdeau–DubeLindholm–Ruzicka–CoronatoBacklund–Coleman–MangiapaneGreer–Sharangovich–DuehrLindholm–Ruzicka–SharangovichWeegar–ZadorovTanev–HanifinOesterle–GilbertHanifin–Gilbert
Larkin–DeBrincat–Raymond8:141.11–0.562:060.00–0.224:350.17–0.532:120.35–0.012:360.11–0.250:410.39–0.00
Copp–Compher–Rasmussen1:090.09–0.183:270.05–0.001:210.00–0.031:070.14–0.001:230.00–0.003:340.00–0.174:290.19–0.010:500.09–0.10
Fischer–Czarnik–Berggren0:550.00–0.001:150.00–0.032:340.00–0.063:330.00–0.010:390.00–0.052:590.00–0.073:040.00–0.052:550.00–0.03
Perron–Sprong–Veleno2:120.12–0.005:010.19–0.660:320.00–0.042:020.14–0.113:300.19–0.562:340.00–0.04
Sprong–Rasmussen–Veleno0:370.00–0.060:590.00–0.06
Maatta–Gostisbehere2:050.09–0.302:010.20–0.036:100.13–0.634:470.14–0.114:350.12–0.386:220.43–0.635:390.04–0.07
Walman–Seider1:460.09–0.106:560.00–0.231:150.00–0.092:160.02–0.058:160.02–0.423:200.00–0.011:110.09–0.07
Chiarot–Holl6:030.90–0.351:360.07–0.002:500.06–0.061:340.03–0.012:480.18–0.154:430.28–0.033:210.07–0.250:500.39–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndPerron FSprong FVeleno FRasmussen FCompher FCopp FLarkin FDeBrincat FRaymond FCzarnik FFischer FBerggren FMaatta DGostisbehere DWalman DSeider DChiarot DHoll DReimer GBacklund FColeman FMangiapane FRuzicka FCoronato FLindholm FKadri FHuberdeau FDube FSharangovich FGreer FDuehr FTanev DHanifin DZadorov DWeegar DGilbert DOesterle DVladar G
DETCGYFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Noah HanifinCGY3125:110:492:0145
MacKenzie WeegarCGY2923:180:481:4251
Shayne GostisbehereDET2422:400:572:2632
Chris TanevCGY3021:210:431:2636
Nikita ZadorovCGY2821:160:461:4341
Jake WalmanDET2220:370:561:5622
Olli MaattaDET2220:300:562:0322
Mikael BacklundCGY2419:110:481:2636
Moritz SeiderDET2219:050:521:3132
Elias LindholmCGY2418:460:472:0144
Ben ChiarotDET2418:130:462:0934
Alex DeBrincatDET2017:390:531:3322
Dylan LarkinDET2217:310:481:2924
Adam RuzickaCGY2116:480:481:4152
Andrew CoppDET2016:180:491:2645
Justin HollDET2316:160:421:2734
Lucas RaymondDET1916:050:511:5212
J.T. CompherDET1916:010:511:1154
Blake ColemanCGY2215:510:431:2515
Yegor SharangovichCGY1915:460:501:4123
Andrew MangiapaneCGY2015:070:451:2123
Nazem KadriCGY2015:010:452:0120
Michael RasmussenDET1614:200:541:2825
Daniel SprongDET2114:180:411:0242
Christian FischerDET1914:160:451:2850
Jonathan HuberdeauCGY1913:580:442:0120
Dillon DubeCGY2013:550:421:0920
Jonatan BerggrenDET1713:290:481:2840
Matt CoronatoCGY1513:150:531:2640
Jordan OesterleCGY2113:120:381:0310
David PerronDET1913:030:411:2622
Dennis GilbertCGY2212:570:351:1420
Austin CzarnikDET1812:550:431:2640
Joseph VelenoDET2112:440:361:0432
A.J. GreerCGY128:190:421:1811
Walker DuehrCGY118:150:451:1311