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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 6, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 6 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Mikhail SergachevD · #98011−1125:060.0759.9%+15.3
Victor HedmanD · #77123−1224:020.0532.2%+40.6
Nikita KucherovRW · #86224+1522:380.5158.0%+55.9
Brayden PointC · #21112−1222:130.2950.7%+25.7
Brandon HagelLW · #38112+1222:060.2173.4%+56.2
Erik CernakD · #81011−1221:490.0457.0%+40.9
Darren RaddyshD · #43000−1120:570.0350.9%0.0
Nick PaulLW · #20000+1418:240.4868.4%0.0
Steven StamkosC · #910110217:210.5762.1%+14.9
Tyler MotteC · #640000316:360.2450.3%0.0
Anthony CirelliC · #71000−2215:170.3245.9%0.0
Calvin de HaanD · #44011−1114:360.0055.9%+40.9
Conor ShearyLW · #73000−1113:220.0275.4%0.0
Nick PerbixD · #480000010:590.0043.4%0.0
Luke GlendeningC · #11000−1010:030.0032.5%0.0
Tanner JeannotLW · #84000−318:570.009.5%0.0
Alex Barré-BouletC · #12000−218:220.1119.0%0.0
Austin WatsonLW · #51000−113:300.002.1%0.0
Jonas Johansson#31O34286.8243.25−2.860:46

Toronto Maple Leafs

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Morgan RiellyD · #44022+2225:290.1046.7%+70.4
TJ BrodieD · #78011+1022:510.0038.6%+9.5
Mitch MarnerRW · #16134+4320:570.2271.1%+67.5
Auston MatthewsC · #34213+4620:280.8171.7%+42.0
John TavaresC · #91000−2419:530.5037.3%0.0
William NylanderRW · #88011−1319:160.2736.9%+44.9
Mark GiordanoD · #550000118:500.0134.8%0.0
John KlingbergD · #3000+1218:060.0338.6%0.0
Calle JarnkrokC · #19202+1317:380.5869.5%+70.8
Tyler BertuzziLW · #59000−2117:130.0438.6%0.0
William LagessonD · #850000115:570.0478.0%0.0
Matthew KniesLW · #23123+4215:370.2667.7%+57.9
Simon BenoitD · #2000+1214:410.0383.3%0.0
Max DomiC · #110110113:520.0646.8%+25.9
Nick RobertsonLW · #890110111:340.1937.3%+25.9
David KampfC · #640000111:200.0133.1%0.0
Noah GregorLW · #180000010:290.0034.8%0.0
Ryan ReavesRW · #75000014:320.0926.5%0.0
Ilya Samsonov#35–1284.6671.02−3.015:13
Joseph Woll#60W19181.9471.92+0.945:33