Mon, Nov 6, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 6 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.
46%
9%
36%
TOR winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 25:06 | 0.07 | 59.9% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | −1 | 2 | 24:02 | 0.05 | 32.2% | +40.6 | |
| 2 | 2 | 4 | +1 | 5 | 22:38 | 0.51 | 58.0% | +55.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 22:13 | 0.29 | 50.7% | +25.7 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 22:06 | 0.21 | 73.4% | +56.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 21:49 | 0.04 | 57.0% | +40.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:57 | 0.03 | 50.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 18:24 | 0.48 | 68.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 17:21 | 0.57 | 62.1% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 16:36 | 0.24 | 50.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 15:17 | 0.32 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 14:36 | 0.00 | 55.9% | +40.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:22 | 0.02 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:59 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:03 | 0.00 | 32.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 8:57 | 0.00 | 9.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 8:22 | 0.11 | 19.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 3:30 | 0.00 | 2.1% | 0.0 |
| O | 34 | 28 | 6 | .824 | 3.25 | −2.8 | 60:46 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 25:29 | 0.10 | 46.7% | +70.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 22:51 | 0.00 | 38.6% | +9.5 | |
| 1 | 3 | 4 | +4 | 3 | 20:57 | 0.22 | 71.1% | +67.5 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +4 | 6 | 20:28 | 0.81 | 71.7% | +42.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 4 | 19:53 | 0.50 | 37.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 19:16 | 0.27 | 36.9% | +44.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:50 | 0.01 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 18:06 | 0.03 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 17:38 | 0.58 | 69.5% | +70.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 17:13 | 0.04 | 38.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.04 | 78.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +4 | 2 | 15:37 | 0.26 | 67.7% | +57.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:41 | 0.03 | 83.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:52 | 0.06 | 46.8% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 11:34 | 0.19 | 37.3% | +25.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:20 | 0.01 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:29 | 0.00 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 4:32 | 0.09 | 26.5% | 0.0 |
| – | 12 | 8 | 4 | .667 | 1.02 | −3.0 | 15:13 | |
| W | 19 | 18 | 1 | .947 | 1.92 | +0.9 | 45:33 |