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Ice Lab

Mon, Nov 6, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Tampa Bay Lightning 5, Toronto Maple Leafs 6 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 56% of the time.

TOR winsTBL wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TBL's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Kucherov–Point–HagelStamkos–Paul–ShearyMotte–Cirelli–Barré-BouletWatson–Glendening–JeannotMotte–Cirelli–JeannotGlendening–Sheary–JeannotStamkos–Kucherov–PointRaddysh–SergachevHedman–Cernakde Haan–PerbixCernak–SergachevHedman–Raddyshde Haan–Raddyshde Haan–CernakSergachev–PerbixHedman–Perbix
Marner–Matthews–Knies7:110.22–0.300:340.00–0.001:200.00–0.000:340.16–0.000:450.08–0.000:350.00–0.005:040.21–0.153:150.25–0.081:490.06–0.070:330.05–0.000:430.00–0.00
Tavares–Bertuzzi–Nylander2:410.22–0.082:010.02–0.042:110.00–0.060:470.04–0.001:500.00–0.253:380.32–0.081:210.04–0.151:390.02–0.071:060.00–0.000:490.00–0.010:500.00–0.01
Jarnkrok–Domi–Robertson3:120.11–0.001:440.42–0.001:070.01–0.001:470.10–0.003:130.03–0.000:390.00–0.001:010.40–0.000:410.01–0.00
Reaves–Gregor–Kampf0:350.00–0.000:590.00–0.001:090.09–0.011:280.10–0.010:520.00–0.00
Jarnkrok–Gregor–Kampf1:140.00–0.001:220.20–0.000:500.00–0.00
Gregor–Kampf–Robertson0:390.00–0.370:560.00–0.37
Brodie–Rielly8:360.37–0.312:420.00–0.370:580.06–0.110:470.00–0.000:380.00–0.006:180.05–0.644:350.31–0.191:270.08–0.002:170.06–0.070:430.00–0.000:440.06–0.00
Giordano–Klingberg2:530.02–0.113:350.09–0.491:080.00–0.000:520.00–0.002:510.37–0.193:400.18–0.082:200.06–0.281:070.00–0.001:090.00–0.440:510.00–0.00
Lagesson–Benoit1:570.05–0.071:410.00–0.003:010.34–0.001:420.13–0.000:310.00–0.001:040.00–0.002:570.09–0.002:060.07–0.002:210.04–0.001:050.02–0.071:360.05–0.001:080.36–0.000:400.00–0.00
Giordano–Brodie0:520.00–0.000:300.00–0.00
Klingberg–Lagesson0:390.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndMarner FKnies FMatthews FNylander FBertuzzi FTavares FJarnkrok FRobertson FDomi FKampf FReaves FGregor FRielly DBrodie DGiordano DKlingberg DBenoit DLagesson DSamsonov GWoll GPoint FHagel FKucherov FCirelli FMotte FBarré-Boulet FPaul FSheary FStamkos FWatson FJeannot FGlendening FRaddysh DSergachev DCernak DHedman Dde Haan DPerbix DJohansson G
TORTBLFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR3325:290:461:4472
Mikhail SergachevTBL3425:060:441:3616
Victor HedmanTBL2824:020:522:0522
TJ BrodieTOR3122:510:441:2853
Nikita KucherovTBL2422:380:572:1131
Brayden PointTBL2622:130:512:0722
Brandon HagelTBL2922:060:461:2512
Erik CernakTBL2921:490:451:5313
Mitch MarnerTOR2720:570:471:3561
Darren RaddyshTBL2520:570:502:0903
Auston MatthewsTOR2820:280:441:2872
John TavaresTOR2119:530:571:5342
William NylanderTOR2119:160:551:5051
Mark GiordanoTOR3118:500:361:0422
Nick PaulTBL2118:240:531:3262
John KlingbergTOR2818:060:391:5731
Calle JarnkrokTOR2417:380:441:3002
Steven StamkosTBL2117:210:501:3152
Tyler BertuzziTOR2117:130:491:3521
Tyler MotteTBL2316:360:431:2213
William LagessonTOR2515:570:381:3614
Matthew KniesTOR2515:370:371:0841
Anthony CirelliTBL2215:170:421:0311
Simon BenoitTOR2114:410:421:3801
Calvin de HaanTBL2114:360:421:1000
Max DomiTOR1913:520:441:0710
Conor ShearyTBL1513:220:531:4622
Nick RobertsonTOR1711:340:411:0710
David KampfTOR1811:200:381:0924
Nick PerbixTBL1510:590:441:2201
Noah GregorTOR1610:290:391:0721
Luke GlendeningTBL1510:030:400:5603
Tanner JeannotTBL128:570:451:0500
Alex Barré-BouletTBL158:220:331:0010
Ryan ReavesTOR84:320:340:5810
Austin WatsonTBL53:300:420:5600