Tue, Nov 28, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Florida Panthers 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 51% of the time.
41%
9%
43%
TOR winsFLA wins
Florida Panthers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 24:14 | 0.13 | 46.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 23:24 | 0.03 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 23:01 | 0.13 | 61.7% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:38 | 0.19 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:20 | 0.28 | 96.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:24 | 0.04 | 59.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:49 | 0.42 | 48.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 17:06 | 0.32 | 49.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:42 | 0.17 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 16:33 | 0.44 | 50.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:32 | 0.08 | 32.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.02 | 36.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 16:02 | 0.48 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:15 | 0.06 | 47.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 12:37 | 0.16 | 70.5% | +17.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:45 | 0.00 | 31.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:20 | 0.13 | 62.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 6:42 | 0.32 | 63.3% | +17.1 |
| O | 32 | 31 | 1 | .969 | 3.29 | +2.3 | 65:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 30:30 | 0.18 | 26.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:45 | 0.00 | 49.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 24:42 | 0.32 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 6 | 24:15 | 0.71 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:53 | 0.28 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:12 | 0.06 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:26 | 0.03 | 42.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:03 | 0.63 | 75.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:15 | 0.07 | 57.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:55 | 0.00 | 73.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:34 | 0.17 | 61.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 14:29 | 0.20 | 35.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:40 | 0.15 | 60.0% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 11:29 | 0.22 | 37.5% | +21.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 9:28 | 0.13 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:15 | 0.12 | 26.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 7:15 | 0.00 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 6:31 | 0.03 | 6.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 39 | 38 | 1 | .974 | 3.40 | +2.4 | 65:00 |