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Ice Lab

Tue, Nov 28, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Florida Panthers 1, Toronto Maple Leafs 2 (SO)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 51% of the time.

TOR winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Barkov–Reinhart–RodriguesVerhaeghe–Bennett–TkachukCousins–Luostarinen–LundellStenlund–Lomberg–GadjovichMontour–MikkolaEkblad–ForslingEkman-Larsson–KulikovMontour–ForslingEkman-Larsson–Montour
Tavares–Bertuzzi–Marner5:220.02–0.101:520.08–0.021:560.04–0.076:400.08–0.192:130.04–0.000:380.00–0.00
Nylander–Matthews–Knies1:450.00–0.154:140.21–0.081:220.00–0.020:570.19–0.373:230.40–0.064:300.00–0.190:360.00–0.00
Jarnkrok–Domi–Robertson1:210.00–0.263:500.14–0.081:130.00–0.300:520.11–0.003:160.02–0.03
Reaves–Gregor–Kampf0:300.00–0.012:440.05–0.251:450.17–0.311:090.13–0.011:250.05–0.11
Nylander–Matthews–Gregor0:410.00–0.010:520.00–0.092:040.00–0.14
Tavares–Jarnkrok–Bertuzzi1:140.00–0.041:210.00–0.06
Tavares–Bertuzzi–Nylander0:430.03–0.00
Brodie–Rielly4:250.00–0.142:540.02–0.060:340.00–0.005:420.02–0.171:440.00–0.011:220.00–0.04
Giordano–McCabe0:430.01–0.001:160.00–0.090:430.00–0.000:520.00–0.371:050.01–0.002:280.00–0.090:410.00–0.000:470.03–0.00
Brodie–McCabe3:380.01–0.162:160.18–0.002:120.02–0.16
Brodie–Benoit1:350.00–0.121:090.06–0.030:520.19–0.001:290.25–0.080:470.13–0.002:160.01–0.09
Timmins–Benoit2:390.71–0.030:440.00–0.111:140.11–0.042:280.59–0.11
Rielly–Benoit1:310.00–0.221:580.00–0.100:310.00–0.271:430.00–0.021:080.00–0.07
McCabe–Timmins0:430.18–0.012:020.04–0.321:340.18–0.320:410.04–0.00
Rielly–Timmins1:020.03–0.010:390.00–0.001:120.05–0.000:460.00–0.011:040.00–0.000:490.05–0.00
McCabe–Benoit0:430.00–0.110:390.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Rielly–McCabe0:300.00–0.010:540.00–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndKnies FMatthews FNylander FTavares FMarner FBertuzzi FDomi FJarnkrok FRobertson FReaves FKampf FGregor FRielly DBrodie DGiordano DMcCabe DBenoit DTimmins DWoll GBennett FTkachuk FVerhaeghe FBarkov FReinhart FRodrigues FLundell FCousins FLuostarinen FLomberg FGadjovich FStenlund FMontour DMikkola DForsling DEkblad DKulikov DEkman-Larsson DStolarz G
TORFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Morgan RiellyTOR3530:300:521:5576
TJ BrodieTOR3124:450:481:4928
William NylanderTOR2724:420:552:4244
Auston MatthewsTOR2524:150:582:3843
Brandon MontourFLA2624:140:561:3682
Gustav ForslingFLA2923:240:481:4524
Aaron EkbladFLA3123:010:451:4614
John TavaresTOR2322:531:002:5893
Aleksander BarkovFLA2822:380:491:2474
Sam ReinhartFLA2822:200:481:1365
Mitch MarnerTOR2522:120:531:34104
Jake McCabeTOR3121:260:411:0625
Niko MikkolaFLA2520:240:491:3752
Tyler BertuzziTOR2019:030:572:0543
Evan RodriguesFLA2217:490:491:3633
Simon BenoitTOR2517:150:411:3803
Matthew TkachukFLA2517:060:411:3242
Conor TimminsTOR2516:550:411:1934
Carter VerhaegheFLA2316:420:441:1450
Calle JarnkrokTOR2216:340:451:3712
Sam BennettFLA2216:330:451:3042
Dmitry KulikovFLA2316:320:431:2412
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2316:120:421:0823
Anton LundellFLA1916:020:511:2611
Matthew KniesTOR1814:290:481:1312
Oliver Ekman-LarssonFLA2114:150:411:1911
Max DomiTOR1912:400:401:0401
Kevin StenlundFLA1912:370:401:0122
Nick CousinsFLA1611:450:441:0621
Noah GregorTOR1811:290:381:0805
David KampfTOR169:280:360:5803
Nick RobertsonTOR139:150:431:0702
Ryan LombergFLA117:200:401:0120
Ryan ReavesTOR127:160:360:5801
Jonah GadjovichFLA126:420:341:0020
Mark GiordanoTOR86:310:491:2201