Wed, Dec 6, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.
55%
10%
28%
TBL winsPIT wins
Pittsburgh Penguins
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:45 | 0.10 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 24:46 | 0.56 | 42.3% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:38 | 0.12 | 33.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:25 | 0.32 | 37.5% | +0.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:18 | 0.02 | 54.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 21:11 | 0.32 | 53.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:20 | 0.04 | 66.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:13 | 0.09 | 33.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 17:12 | 0.05 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.17 | 35.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:31 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:13 | 0.10 | 72.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 12:56 | 0.05 | 66.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:54 | 0.00 | 14.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:03 | 0.07 | 36.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:49 | 0.20 | 36.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:52 | 0.09 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5:30 | 0.00 | 4.4% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 24 | 3 | .889 | 3.10 | +0.1 | 58:26 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 2 | 25:04 | 0.29 | 51.6% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:17 | 0.11 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:09 | 0.00 | 66.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 21:19 | 0.32 | 48.7% | +29.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:37 | 0.17 | 52.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 19:36 | 0.02 | 57.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 19:28 | 0.26 | 62.6% | +16.7 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 19:24 | 0.84 | 54.7% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:46 | 0.02 | 59.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:22 | 0.45 | 66.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:11 | 0.03 | 59.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:03 | 0.02 | 60.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:47 | 0.00 | 63.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:39 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:43 | 0.26 | 63.9% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 9:16 | 0.31 | 76.8% | +6.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4:20 | 0.00 | 44.1% | 0.0 |
| W | 25 | 24 | 1 | .960 | 2.32 | +1.3 | 60:00 |