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Ice Lab

Wed, Dec 6, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Pittsburgh Penguins 1, Tampa Bay Lightning 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 64% of the time.

TBL winsPIT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against PIT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Crosby–Smith–GuentzelMalkin–Crosby–GuentzelMalkin–Rust–O'ConnorEller–Nylander–ZohornaCarter–Harkins–NylanderEller–Smith–O'ConnorMalkin–Eller–O'ConnorCrosby–Rust–GuentzelCarter–Smith–ZohornaCarter–Harkins–KoppanenKarlsson–PetterssonLetang–GravesShea–LudvigLetang–KarlssonLetang–LudvigGraves–PetterssonKarlsson–SheaKarlsson–GravesGraves–SheaLetang–SheaPettersson–SheaKarlsson–LudvigLetang–PetterssonGraves–Ludvig
Stamkos–Kucherov–Point3:350.18–0.090:420.00–0.002:070.00–0.221:430.12–0.021:520.12–0.134:070.16–0.241:450.06–0.001:060.00–0.001:180.00–0.090:370.08–0.000:480.00–0.160:330.12–0.00
Cirelli–Hagel–Barré-Boulet4:570.25–0.001:380.26–0.100:390.02–0.020:300.00–0.061:580.00–0.173:530.19–0.201:430.08–0.001:350.26–0.100:300.00–0.061:110.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:320.00–0.00
Paul–Eyssimont–Jeannot0:410.00–0.001:200.00–0.000:430.00–0.020:340.02–0.000:580.00–0.002:250.17–0.001:180.00–0.020:480.00–0.00
Watson–Glendening–Motte1:240.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:390.00–0.020:480.00–0.000:550.00–0.000:420.00–0.001:020.01–0.020:420.00–0.000:380.00–0.00
Glendening–Motte–Eyssimont0:370.02–0.000:440.06–0.000:300.00–0.020:430.00–0.020:300.02–0.000:300.06–0.00
Glendening–Motte–Jeannot1:140.00–0.150:440.00–0.140:310.00–0.00
Cernak–Sergachev5:220.39–0.002:060.26–0.190:350.00–0.020:420.00–0.000:410.00–0.020:300.00–0.061:460.00–0.173:200.15–0.221:570.08–0.001:170.00–0.001:530.26–0.190:300.00–0.060:590.00–0.001:040.02–0.001:020.14–0.00
Hedman–Perbix2:450.17–0.090:590.00–0.021:200.00–0.131:530.12–0.001:430.12–0.133:440.17–0.231:020.10–0.001:190.00–0.021:080.00–0.000:390.08–0.000:510.00–0.160:470.00–0.000:540.12–0.00
de Haan–Raddysh1:350.01–0.150:340.00–0.001:220.00–0.000:430.00–0.001:270.00–0.041:170.02–0.000:420.00–0.002:220.02–0.162:150.17–0.001:430.07–0.020:480.00–0.020:430.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Sergachev–Perbix0:510.02–0.000:340.02–0.000:450.02–0.00
Hedman–Cernak0:500.06–0.000:460.01–0.00
Hedman–Raddysh
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBarré-Boulet FHagel FCirelli FPoint FStamkos FKucherov FEyssimont FPaul FJeannot FGlendening FWatson FMotte FCernak DSergachev DPerbix DHedman DRaddysh Dde Haan DVasilevskiy GSmith FGuentzel FCrosby FMalkin FO'Connor FRust FNylander FEller FZohorna FHarkins FKoppanen FCarter FGraves DLetang DPettersson DKarlsson DShea DLudvig DJarry G
TBLPITFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Erik KarlssonPIT2725:450:572:4342
Victor HedmanTBL2825:040:541:4931
Jake GuentzelPIT2524:460:592:5624
Kris LetangPIT2724:380:552:3046
Mikhail SergachevTBL2824:170:522:0452
Sidney CrosbyPIT2523:250:563:0334
Erik CernakTBL2822:090:472:2833
Nikita KucherovTBL2121:191:012:1831
Marcus PetterssonPIT2421:180:531:5215
Evgeni MalkinPIT2321:110:552:3541
Brayden PointTBL2219:370:541:3651
Brandon HagelTBL2519:360:471:3440
Anthony CirelliTBL2419:280:491:4521
Steven StamkosTBL2419:240:491:3551
Ryan GravesPIT2418:200:461:3505
Reilly SmithPIT2317:130:451:2124
Lars EllerPIT2317:120:451:0834
Drew O'ConnorPIT2215:020:411:0314
Calvin de HaanTBL1814:460:491:4622
Ryan SheaPIT1414:311:022:2110
Alex Barré-BouletTBL1914:220:451:3431
Nick PerbixTBL2014:110:431:4000
Darren RaddyshTBL1514:030:561:4821
Nick PaulTBL1713:470:492:0932
Jeff CarterPIT1913:130:421:2914
Luke GlendeningTBL1812:590:431:4346
Alex NylanderPIT1612:560:491:3120
John LudvigPIT1912:540:411:2023
Tyler MotteTBL1512:390:511:3834
Bryan RustPIT1712:030:431:1402
Tanner JeannotTBL1810:430:361:1421
Michael EyssimontTBL149:160:401:1021
Radim ZohornaPIT128:490:441:2011
Jansen HarkinsPIT96:520:461:2801
Joona KoppanenPIT105:300:330:5601
Austin WatsonTBL84:200:330:5221