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Ice Lab

Fri, Dec 15, 2023·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Ottawa Senators 4, Dallas Stars 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 51% of the time.

DAL winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Batherson–Tkachuk–StützleGiroux–Kubalik–NorrisMacEwen–Kelly–GreigKubalik–Kelly–GreigGiroux–Joseph–NorrisBatherson–Kelly–StützleKastelic–Kelly–GreigGiroux–Kubalik–GreigGiroux–Norris–KellyChartier–MacEwen–KastelicGiroux–Kubalik–StützleGiroux–Tkachuk–StützleMacEwen–Kastelic–GreigHamonic–ChychrunSanderson–ZubBrannstrom–Bernard-DockerChychrun–ZubBrannstrom–SandersonChychrun–Brannstrom
Pavelski–Hintz–Robertson4:470.08–0.041:340.08–0.001:180.18–0.040:440.00–0.000:460.11–0.000:430.00–0.032:110.08–0.033:190.06–0.073:530.40–0.060:310.00–0.00
Duchene–Seguin–Marchment2:280.00–0.113:120.27–0.011:390.15–0.031:010.00–0.010:330.00–0.003:230.05–0.033:300.15–0.052:130.18–0.071:100.04–0.00
Benn–Dadonov–Johnston2:570.01–0.301:240.08–0.051:380.00–0.081:160.03–0.000:520.00–0.033:400.12–0.022:180.00–0.272:140.00–0.130:380.00–0.000:400.00–0.03
Smith–Faksa–Steel1:070.00–0.051:210.00–0.001:140.01–0.011:170.00–0.000:420.00–0.003:360.01–0.021:110.05–0.010:360.00–0.001:370.00–0.16
Suter–Heiskanen5:100.07–0.362:470.07–0.010:430.15–0.030:370.00–0.010:430.00–0.000:450.00–0.004:000.08–0.025:020.21–0.331:300.00–0.051:170.13–0.000:410.00–0.000:400.00–0.01
Hakanpää–Lindell5:180.00–0.162:210.09–0.050:350.00–0.080:410.00–0.000:550.18–0.010:480.00–0.011:000.00–0.000:360.00–0.004:520.01–0.062:240.00–0.024:210.26–0.201:290.00–0.03
Hanley–Harley1:000.00–0.002:170.18–0.000:330.00–0.001:140.03–0.000:550.00–0.000:450.11–0.000:310.00–0.031:290.03–0.002:270.13–0.002:560.31–0.030:340.00–0.00
Heiskanen–Harley0:300.02–0.000:330.05–0.000:300.05–0.000:520.13–0.001:490.05–0.05
Suter–Hanley0:450.00–0.000:570.00–0.020:390.00–0.00
Lindell–Heiskanen0:300.05–0.000:340.00–0.00
Suter–Harley1:020.01–0.010:440.01–0.000:460.10–0.01
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndBenn FJohnston FDadonov FHintz FRobertson FPavelski FMarchment FSeguin FDuchene FSmith FSteel FFaksa FHeiskanen DSuter DHakanpää DLindell DHanley DHarley DOettinger GWedgewood GTkachuk FStützle FBatherson FJoseph FGiroux FNorris FKelly FGreig FKubalik FKastelic FChartier FMacEwen FZub DSanderson DChychrun DHamonic DBernard-Docker DBrannstrom DForsberg G
DALOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Miro HeiskanenDAL3126:040:501:4562
Jakob ChychrunOTT2725:230:561:3420
Tim StützleOTT3024:090:481:4242
Claude GirouxOTT3022:180:452:2444
Jake SandersonOTT2922:140:461:2037
Artem ZubOTT2622:070:511:3217
Drake BathersonOTT3021:370:431:2841
Esa LindellDAL2521:260:511:2805
Ryan SuterDAL2921:030:441:2123
Brady TkachukOTT3220:430:391:2751
Jani HakanpääDAL2619:480:461:2805
Josh NorrisOTT2719:240:431:4256
Dominik KubalikOTT2618:590:441:2832
Jason RobertsonDAL2318:080:471:2042
Roope HintzDAL2417:410:441:2055
Tyler SeguinDAL2317:140:451:3922
Thomas HarleyDAL2217:060:471:2642
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2216:460:461:2033
Erik BrannstromOTT2216:340:451:3810
Joe PavelskiDAL2216:140:441:2033
Travis HamonicOTT2315:580:421:1612
Ridly GreigOTT2315:480:411:0732
Matt DucheneDAL2114:590:431:0821
Mason MarchmentDAL2014:430:441:2320
Parker KellyOTT2214:320:401:0423
Jamie BennDAL2014:110:431:2064
Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT1813:000:431:1920
Evgenii DadonovDAL1712:500:451:1033
Radek FaksaDAL1712:200:441:3804
Sam SteelDAL1711:560:421:5502
Joel HanleyDAL1811:350:391:2722
Craig SmithDAL139:560:461:4700
Mark KastelicOTT117:120:391:1711
Zack MacEwenOTT116:590:381:0201
Mathieu JosephOTT114:450:261:0020
Rourke ChartierOTT74:250:380:5901