Thu, Dec 21, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Vegas Golden Knights 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.
51%
9%
32%
TBL winsVGK wins
Vegas Golden Knights
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 22:44 | 0.09 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 22:08 | 0.30 | 44.6% | +26.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 21:29 | 0.00 | 41.2% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 20:28 | 0.10 | 49.6% | +46.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 19:13 | 0.07 | 37.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:02 | 0.01 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 18:24 | 0.35 | 46.8% | +30.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:17 | 0.58 | 85.2% | +11.6 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 16:58 | 0.40 | 22.1% | +27.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 15:52 | 0.00 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 15:17 | 0.00 | 21.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:12 | 0.20 | 52.9% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:11 | 0.20 | 85.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:59 | 0.00 | 27.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 11:50 | 0.38 | 69.5% | +46.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 11:42 | 0.14 | 17.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 11:38 | 0.10 | 38.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:12 | 0.14 | 21.8% | 0.0 |
| L | 36 | 31 | 5 | .861 | 3.65 | −1.4 | 59:07 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 3 | 3 | +2 | 4 | 23:36 | 0.24 | 45.3% | +81.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 20:54 | 0.18 | 53.7% | +22.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:43 | 0.00 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 20:35 | 0.20 | 69.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:56 | 0.16 | 60.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 18:50 | 0.18 | 41.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 5 | 18:36 | 0.64 | 73.7% | +58.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 18:29 | 0.41 | 55.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 1 | 17:53 | 0.15 | 76.0% | +79.9 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +1 | 4 | 17:26 | 0.70 | 69.3% | +79.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 16:48 | 0.02 | 81.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 16:39 | 0.03 | 57.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:02 | 0.00 | 15.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 3 | 12:33 | 0.37 | 41.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:29 | 0.00 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.06 | 43.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 7:51 | 0.31 | 41.1% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 7:12 | 0.00 | 39.0% | +15.9 |
| W | 34 | 30 | 4 | .882 | 3.07 | −0.9 | 60:00 |