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Ice Lab

Thu, Dec 21, 2023·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Vegas Golden Knights 4, Tampa Bay Lightning 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 61% of the time.

TBL winsVGK wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TBL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against VGK's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Stone–Barbashev–EichelCarrier–Amadio–HowdenKarlsson–Roy–CotterMarchessault–Stephenson–DorofeyevMcNabb–HuttonHague–WhitecloudMartinez–Pietrangelo
Stamkos–Cirelli–Hagel7:540.40–0.410:300.00–0.061:500.04–0.000:460.02–0.023:360.49–0.483:120.04–0.005:180.22–0.00
Kucherov–Paul–Point1:580.16–0.233:380.20–0.041:510.00–0.000:570.00–0.001:380.00–0.003:470.22–0.052:430.12–0.22
Glendening–Eyssimont–Jeannot1:430.00–0.002:270.00–0.733:110.06–0.004:220.06–0.383:000.00–0.21
Motte–Sheary–Barré-Boulet3:050.12–0.051:400.03–0.112:050.03–0.000:570.00–0.002:260.12–0.16
Stamkos–Paul–Cirelli0:410.00–0.000:410.00–0.00
de Haan–Raddysh2:440.00–0.003:010.04–0.703:000.57–0.095:540.72–0.552:410.04–0.211:170.03–0.11
Fleury–Perbix0:480.20–0.003:110.03–0.101:420.03–0.001:210.00–0.001:540.03–0.063:470.07–0.141:500.15–0.00
Fleury–Cernak6:430.29–0.131:050.00–0.072:590.20–0.013:190.09–0.05
Hedman–Perbix0:320.03–0.001:060.21–0.052:130.03–0.000:480.00–0.002:280.08–0.021:170.09–0.001:210.08–0.05
Hedman–Cernak2:520.01–0.561:360.17–0.000:520.00–0.003:250.17–0.22
Hedman–Raddysh0:310.00–0.000:460.00–0.201:250.01–0.061:300.01–0.061:170.00–0.060:310.00–0.14
de Haan–Cernak1:020.00–0.000:540.02–0.021:030.00–0.000:470.00–0.00
de Haan–Perbix0:460.29–0.00
Fleury–Raddysh0:540.00–0.000:480.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndHagel FCirelli FStamkos FPaul FPoint FKucherov FJeannot FBarré-Boulet FGlendening FEyssimont FMotte FSheary FHedman DCernak DRaddysh Dde Haan DFleury DPerbix DVasilevskiy GEichel FBarbashev FStone FKarlsson FStephenson FRoy FHowden FDorofeyev FMarchessault FCotter FCarrier FAmadio FPietrangelo DMartinez DMcNabb DHague DWhitecloud DHutton DPatera G
TBLVGKFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Victor HedmanTBL2423:360:592:0145
Alex PietrangeloVGK2622:440:521:4544
Jack EichelVGK2322:080:582:1033
Mark StoneVGK2421:290:542:1033
Steven StamkosTBL2220:540:571:4061
Erik CernakTBL2320:430:541:4634
Anthony CirelliTBL2420:350:511:3143
Brayden McNabbVGK2020:281:012:1953
Haydn FleuryTBL2319:560:521:5131
Nicolas HagueVGK2219:130:521:2517
Zach WhitecloudVGK2219:020:521:2529
Darren RaddyshTBL2418:500:471:3732
Nikita KucherovTBL2218:360:512:0161
Brandon HagelTBL2018:290:551:3842
Ben HuttonVGK1818:241:011:5161
Nick PaulTBL2117:530:511:2862
Brayden PointTBL2017:260:522:0150
William KarlssonVGK1817:170:581:2844
Jonathan MarchessaultVGK1816:580:572:0690
Nick PerbixTBL2216:480:461:2832
Calvin de HaanTBL2116:390:482:0522
Alec MartinezVGK2215:520:431:2322
Chandler StephensonVGK1715:170:542:2140
Luke GlendeningTBL1814:020:471:4336
Nicolas RoyVGK1813:160:441:1846
Ivan BarbashevVGK1713:120:471:3513
Tanner JeannotTBL1612:330:471:1822
Brett HowdenVGK1611:590:451:2523
Paul CotterVGK1411:500:511:2423
William CarrierVGK1511:420:471:1623
Michael AmadioVGK1511:380:471:3622
Tyler MotteTBL1411:290:491:4303
Pavel DorofeyevVGK1411:120:481:2650
Michael EyssimontTBL1510:170:411:1842
Alex Barré-BouletTBL107:510:471:0710
Conor ShearyTBL107:120:430:5900