Sat, Dec 23, 2023·Capital One Arena, Washington
Tampa Bay Lightning 2, Washington Capitals 1 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 53% of the time.
37%
10%
8%
45%
WSH winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 27:32 | 0.13 | 61.4% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 24:17 | 0.27 | 57.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 23:40 | 0.09 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:48 | 0.04 | 47.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:31 | 0.46 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:23 | 0.19 | 56.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:11 | 0.15 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:28 | 0.25 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 19:41 | 0.90 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:13 | 0.07 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 16:36 | 0.01 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:31 | 0.00 | 53.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:27 | 0.11 | 48.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:22 | 0.09 | 69.0% | +16.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 11:06 | 0.07 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 10:23 | 0.12 | 68.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:54 | 0.03 | 60.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 7:57 | 0.00 | 33.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 34 | 33 | 1 | .971 | 2.73 | +1.7 | 65:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 24:55 | 0.26 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 22:11 | 0.02 | 62.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:06 | 0.44 | 61.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 21:54 | 0.00 | 24.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:00 | 0.52 | 65.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 19:43 | 0.38 | 64.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 19:01 | 0.01 | 52.1% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:12 | 0.04 | 10.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:22 | 0.00 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 16:43 | 0.46 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 4 | 16:42 | 0.05 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:23 | 0.17 | 34.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:10 | 0.00 | 36.5% | +18.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:22 | 0.14 | 30.4% | +18.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.00 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:26 | 0.17 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:48 | 0.05 | 31.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:09 | 0.02 | 28.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 20 | 19 | 1 | .950 | 2.98 | +2.0 | 65:00 |