Wed, Dec 27, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.
50%
8%
34%
TOR winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Jake SandersonD · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 25:44 | 0.01 | 55.2% | 0.0 |
 Artem ZubD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 24:45 | 0.43 | 57.2% | 0.0 |
 Jakob ChychrunD · #6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 21:42 | 0.02 | 33.0% | 0.0 |
 Claude GirouxRW · #28 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:40 | 0.22 | 30.1% | +13.0 |
 Tim StützleC · #18 | 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:44 | 0.37 | 41.8% | +22.4 |
 Travis HamonicD · #23 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:19 | 0.07 | 31.8% | +27.3 |
 Brady TkachukLW · #7 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:03 | 0.85 | 31.6% | +7.3 |
 Josh NorrisC · #9 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:28 | 0.22 | 40.6% | 0.0 |
 Drake BathersonRW · #19 | 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 16:43 | 0.41 | 43.7% | +49.7 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoRW · #91 | 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 14:56 | 0.08 | 42.0% | +34.6 |
 Parker KellyC · #27 | 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:25 | 0.30 | 63.0% | +13.0 |
 Erik BrannstromD · #26 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:17 | 0.00 | 44.2% | 0.0 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerD · #24 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:00 | 0.00 | 37.5% | 0.0 |
 Dominik KubalikLW · #81 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:03 | 0.03 | 24.5% | 0.0 |
 Ridly GreigC · #71 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:58 | 0.35 | 48.0% | 0.0 |
 Mark KastelicC · #12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:26 | 0.04 | 51.6% | 0.0 |
 Jiri SmejkalLW · #13 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:59 | 0.22 | 86.1% | 0.0 |
 Angus CrookshankC · #59 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:48 | 0.00 | 53.9% | 0.0 |
 Joonas Korpisalo#70 | W | 36 | 34 | 2 | .944 | 4.23 | +2.2 | 60:00 |
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
 Morgan RiellyD · #44 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 2 | 24:52 | 0.07 | 49.7% | +11.9 |
 Auston MatthewsC · #34 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 23:48 | 0.41 | 39.3% | +16.8 |
 Jake McCabeD · #22 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 22:58 | 0.10 | 66.5% | 0.0 |
 Mitch MarnerRW · #16 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 22:51 | 0.14 | 41.5% | 0.0 |
 Timothy LiljegrenD · #37 | 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 22:17 | 0.08 | 68.3% | 0.0 |
 William NylanderRW · #88 | 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 19:44 | 0.74 | 68.3% | +11.9 |
 John TavaresC · #91 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 5 | 18:37 | 0.54 | 73.8% | 0.0 |
 TJ BrodieD · #78 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 17:41 | 0.00 | 40.2% | 0.0 |
 Tyler BertuzziLW · #59 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:35 | 0.67 | 73.8% | +11.9 |
 Matthew KniesLW · #23 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:19 | 0.55 | 42.8% | +16.8 |
 Calle JarnkrokC · #19 | 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.40 | 99.3% | 0.0 |
 Max DomiC · #11 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 14:55 | 0.10 | 99.3% | 0.0 |
 Simon BenoitD · #2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:08 | 0.00 | 56.3% | 0.0 |
 Nick RobertsonLW · #89 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:17 | 0.31 | 98.7% | 0.0 |
 William LagessonD · #85 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:44 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 |
 David KampfC · #64 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 10:02 | 0.02 | 23.5% | 0.0 |
 Noah GregorLW · #18 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:03 | 0.05 | 21.5% | 0.0 |
 Bobby McMannC · #74 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 7:24 | 0.02 | 23.9% | 0.0 |
 Martin Jones#31 | L | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.47 | −0.5 | 56:57 |