Wed, Dec 27, 2023·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto
Ottawa Senators 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 2
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 59% of the time.
50%
8%
34%
TOR winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Giroux–Norris–Tkachuk | Tarasenko–Batherson–Stützle | Kubalik–Crookshank–Greig | Kastelic–Kelly–Smejkal | Kubalik–Kastelic–Kelly | Kubalik–Kelly–Greig | Sanderson–Zub | Hamonic–Chychrun | Brannstrom–Bernard-Docker | Chychrun–Zub | Chychrun–Sanderson | Hamonic–Sanderson | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Marner–Matthews–Knies | 5:350.32–0.26 | 3:320.30–0.60 | 0:430.00–0.02 | 0:380.00–0.00 | 0:550.02–0.07 | 0:450.13–0.00 | 4:150.05–0.40 | 5:490.45–0.18 | 1:350.04–0.29 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 1:030.27–0.27 | |
| Tavares–Bertuzzi–Nylander | 3:150.07–0.04 | 3:460.70–0.26 | 1:570.22–0.03 | 3:160.35–0.02 | 3:180.14–0.10 | 3:360.51–0.17 | 0:300.00–0.04 | |||||
| Jarnkrok–Domi–Robertson | 1:080.00–0.00 | 1:210.15–0.00 | 0:320.02–0.00 | 2:160.04–0.00 | 0:400.09–0.00 | 1:580.09–0.00 | 2:290.20–0.00 | 2:010.09–0.00 | ||||
| Gregor–Kampf–McMann | 0:580.01–0.03 | 1:040.00–0.00 | 1:410.02–0.00 | 1:280.00–0.13 | 2:160.07–0.28 | 1:150.00–0.02 | 1:200.02–0.00 | 0:340.00–0.00 | ||||
| Jarnkrok–Bertuzzi–Domi | ||||||||||||
| McCabe–Liljegren | 3:310.25–0.08 | 4:450.50–0.34 | 2:060.22–0.05 | 1:330.04–0.00 | 0:530.09–0.03 | 3:130.15–0.19 | 4:440.43–0.03 | 4:490.34–0.21 | 1:530.00–0.04 | |||
| Brodie–Rielly | 6:450.14–0.25 | 3:320.37–0.54 | 1:020.02–0.00 | 1:090.00–0.13 | 4:490.26–0.31 | 5:480.09–0.22 | 1:430.18–0.27 | 0:460.00–0.27 | ||||
| Lagesson–Benoit | 0:550.01–0.00 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 2:320.02–0.00 | 2:350.00–0.01 | 3:040.03–0.21 | 1:230.00–0.00 | 2:560.00–0.01 | 0:380.00–0.00 | ||||
| Rielly–McCabe | 0:380.03–0.00 | 1:000.02–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Brodie–Benoit | 0:420.00–0.00 | 0:360.13–0.00 | 1:110.18–0.00 | |||||||||
| Rielly–Liljegren | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:560.07–0.00 | ||||||||||
| Rielly–Benoit | 0:350.02–0.00 | |||||||||||
| McCabe–Benoit | 0:340.00–0.06 |
Every shift, one row per player.
TOROTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake SandersonOTT | 30 | 25:44 | 0:51 | 1:41 | 2 | 7 |
 Morgan RiellyTOR | 31 | 24:52 | 0:48 | 1:41 | 7 | 2 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 28 | 24:45 | 0:53 | 1:41 | 1 | 7 |
 Auston MatthewsTOR | 26 | 23:48 | 0:55 | 2:16 | 13 | 2 |
 Jake McCabeTOR | 29 | 22:58 | 0:48 | 1:45 | 4 | 3 |
 Mitch MarnerTOR | 25 | 22:51 | 0:55 | 1:41 | 12 | 2 |
 Timothy LiljegrenTOR | 29 | 22:17 | 0:46 | 1:50 | 7 | 2 |
 Jakob ChychrunOTT | 26 | 21:42 | 0:50 | 1:39 | 3 | 7 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 31 | 21:40 | 0:42 | 1:33 | 4 | 8 |
 William NylanderTOR | 19 | 19:44 | 1:02 | 2:15 | 4 | 2 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 29 | 19:44 | 0:41 | 1:14 | 2 | 5 |
 John TavaresTOR | 19 | 18:37 | 0:59 | 1:41 | 5 | 2 |
 Travis HamonicOTT | 25 | 18:19 | 0:44 | 1:35 | 3 | 9 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 28 | 18:03 | 0:39 | 1:41 | 4 | 6 |
 TJ BrodieTOR | 28 | 17:41 | 0:38 | 1:39 | 4 | 2 |
 Tyler BertuzziTOR | 19 | 17:35 | 0:56 | 1:18 | 3 | 2 |
 Josh NorrisOTT | 30 | 17:28 | 0:35 | 1:23 | 4 | 7 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 26 | 16:43 | 0:39 | 1:03 | 4 | 6 |
 Matthew KniesTOR | 20 | 16:19 | 0:49 | 1:31 | 7 | 2 |
 Calle JarnkrokTOR | 18 | 15:48 | 0:53 | 1:41 | 6 | 0 |
 Vladimir TarasenkoOTT | 26 | 14:56 | 0:34 | 1:03 | 3 | 5 |
 Max DomiTOR | 17 | 14:55 | 0:53 | 1:49 | 3 | 0 |
 Parker KellyOTT | 21 | 14:25 | 0:41 | 1:16 | 0 | 5 |
 Erik BrannstromOTT | 20 | 14:17 | 0:43 | 1:34 | 0 | 3 |
 Simon BenoitTOR | 19 | 14:08 | 0:45 | 1:09 | 3 | 0 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT | 19 | 14:00 | 0:44 | 1:21 | 0 | 2 |
 Dominik KubalikOTT | 17 | 13:03 | 0:46 | 1:19 | 1 | 3 |
 Nick RobertsonTOR | 16 | 12:17 | 0:46 | 1:13 | 3 | 0 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 17 | 11:58 | 0:42 | 1:15 | 1 | 3 |
 William LagessonTOR | 15 | 10:44 | 0:43 | 1:13 | 3 | 0 |
 David KampfTOR | 14 | 10:02 | 0:43 | 1:16 | 1 | 1 |
 Mark KastelicOTT | 15 | 9:26 | 0:38 | 1:19 | 0 | 1 |
 Noah GregorTOR | 13 | 9:03 | 0:42 | 0:58 | 1 | 0 |
 Jiri SmejkalOTT | 13 | 8:59 | 0:41 | 1:19 | 0 | 2 |
 Angus CrookshankOTT | 11 | 8:48 | 0:48 | 1:16 | 1 | 2 |
 Bobby McMannTOR | 13 | 7:24 | 0:34 | 1:07 | 1 | 0 |