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Ice Lab

Sat, Jan 6, 2024·American Airlines Center, Dallas

Nashville Predators 4, Dallas Stars 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 72% of the time.

DAL winsNSH wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Shift data for this game has gaps, so treat the charts as approximate.

Line matchups

DAL forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against NSH's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Nyquist–O'Reilly–ForsbergSissons–Gurianov–ParssinenMcCarron–Trenin–TomasinoNovak–Smith–EvangelistaMcCarron–Trenin–SmithJosi–FabbroLauzon–CarrierMcDonagh–SchennMcDonagh–JosiMcDonagh–CarrierMcDonagh–Fabbro
Duchene–Seguin–Marchment2:470.02–0.002:400.03–0.003:110.33–0.192:190.12–0.270:510.00–0.002:520.24–0.004:250.02–0.114:030.27–0.001:350.00–0.33
Smith–Faksa–Steel1:170.00–0.132:450.00–0.130:420.00–0.031:380.18–0.003:490.34–0.002:070.11–0.031:550.00–0.16
Pavelski–Benn–Johnston1:050.00–0.001:410.39–0.000:410.07–0.001:180.00–0.101:450.46–0.002:150.00–0.002:140.00–0.10
Dadonov–Hintz–Robertson2:000.01–0.131:100.08–0.001:470.12–0.002:510.12–0.091:380.17–0.000:510.00–0.06
Pavelski–Hintz–Robertson1:520.04–0.031:200.00–0.011:260.00–0.121:350.04–0.011:540.00–0.120:520.00–0.030:430.33–0.00
Benn–Dadonov–Johnston1:320.02–0.000:350.03–0.001:320.00–0.061:160.00–0.131:160.05–0.001:190.00–0.00
Hakanpää–Lindell5:550.02–0.450:580.00–0.040:490.21–0.112:260.17–0.432:490.41–0.114:390.13–0.453:390.00–0.201:010.00–0.33
Suter–Lundkvist0:570.01–0.033:040.08–0.094:070.25–0.140:520.01–0.000:480.00–0.004:230.23–0.113:590.12–0.031:450.09–0.00
Hanley–Harley1:100.00–0.003:160.42–0.003:150.06–0.004:320.50–0.003:070.00–0.080:530.06–0.00
Lundkvist–Harley2:030.00–0.001:250.11–0.002:100.15–0.000:490.00–0.001:350.00–0.000:370.04–0.00
Suter–Hanley0:390.00–0.000:320.00–0.010:460.06–0.000:570.00–0.011:130.44–0.17
Hakanpää–Harley1:090.00–0.160:540.05–0.001:420.00–0.16
Suter–Harley0:400.00–0.000:410.00–0.000:510.00–0.00
Lindell–Harley0:360.02–0.000:410.12–0.031:070.12–0.00
Suter–Lindell0:380.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMarchment FSeguin FDuchene FPavelski FRobertson FHintz FBenn FJohnston FDadonov FSmith FFaksa FSteel FHanley DHarley DHakanpää DSuter DLindell DLundkvist DWedgewood GSissons FGurianov FParssinen FO'Reilly FForsberg FNyquist FMcCarron FTrenin FTomasino FNovak FEvangelista FSmith FFabbro DJosi DSchenn DMcDonagh DLauzon DCarrier DLankinen G
DALNSHFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas HarleyDAL2524:230:592:1324
Roman JosiNSH2924:180:502:1753
Ryan McDonaghNSH2723:160:521:5616
Ryan SuterDAL2320:190:531:3122
Jeremy LauzonNSH2619:560:461:1813
Ryan O'ReillyNSH2719:120:431:2044
Tyler SeguinDAL2219:070:521:4053
Jani HakanpääDAL2519:040:462:1212
Nils LundkvistDAL2618:590:441:1652
Filip ForsbergNSH2518:430:451:3441
Jason RobertsonDAL2218:350:512:0522
Gustav NyquistNSH2518:320:441:3342
Joe PavelskiDAL2118:300:532:1620
Alexandre CarrierNSH2518:070:431:1813
Roope HintzDAL2318:060:472:1322
Dante FabbroNSH2418:030:451:2043
Colton SissonsNSH2617:420:411:1826
Esa LindellDAL2717:350:392:0033
Matt DucheneDAL2317:310:461:3872
Juuso ParssinenNSH2316:540:441:3604
Jamie BennDAL2116:140:462:1242
Mason MarchmentDAL2016:120:491:3232
Joel HanleyDAL2214:320:401:0703
Denis GurianovNSH1914:270:461:3404
Luke SchennNSH2014:170:431:1213
Yakov TreninNSH1814:010:471:3812
Cole SmithNSH2213:540:381:0142
Wyatt JohnstonDAL2013:500:421:2134
Sam SteelDAL1613:060:491:3801
Luke EvangelistaNSH1612:270:471:2230
Michael McCarronNSH1612:020:451:1512
Tommy NovakNSH1711:410:411:0510
Evgenii DadonovDAL1811:310:381:1025
Radek FaksaDAL1611:260:431:1511
Philip TomasinoNSH1511:090:451:0402
Craig SmithDAL1610:590:411:2611