Sat, Feb 10, 2024·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa
Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 5
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.
56%
31%
OTT winsTOR wins
Toronto Maple Leafs
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 24:05 | 0.15 | 64.8% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 22:21 | 0.02 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 22:06 | 0.00 | 78.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 20:43 | 0.93 | 67.2% | +36.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 19:32 | 0.34 | 66.9% | +36.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 19:15 | 0.07 | 69.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 3 | 18:18 | 0.18 | 46.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 4 | 17:39 | 0.72 | 40.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 17:33 | 0.01 | 34.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:53 | 0.59 | 73.7% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 16:49 | 0.09 | 48.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:58 | 0.70 | 64.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.25 | 70.9% | +36.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 14:09 | 0.22 | 77.2% | +13.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:14 | 0.00 | 56.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:10 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:22 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:01 | 0.00 | 0.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 31 | 27 | 4 | .871 | 4.03 | 0.0 | 58:38 |
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +3 | 4 | 26:01 | 0.58 | 58.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 1 | 21:42 | 0.03 | 64.1% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 21:16 | 0.03 | 41.6% | +19.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 5 | 20:14 | 0.75 | 67.5% | +42.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +4 | 2 | 19:00 | 1.09 | 57.6% | +1.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:56 | 0.01 | 43.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 18:52 | 0.22 | 28.1% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 18:23 | 0.71 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.42 | 58.3% | +19.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:37 | 0.28 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 16:17 | 0.06 | 22.3% | +13.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 15:51 | 0.30 | 37.2% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:48 | 0.00 | 11.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.03 | 10.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:59 | 0.22 | 33.6% | +17.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 11:33 | 0.21 | 65.4% | +21.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 8:09 | 0.15 | 34.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 7:08 | 0.03 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 35 | 32 | 3 | .914 | 4.27 | +1.3 | 60:00 |