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Ice Lab

Sat, Feb 10, 2024·Canadian Tire Centre, Ottawa

Toronto Maple Leafs 3, Ottawa Senators 5

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 63% of the time.

OTT winsTOR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

OTT forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against TOR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Marner–Matthews–KniesTavares–Bertuzzi–NylanderDomi–Gregor–RobertsonReaves–Holmberg–McMannBrodie–RiellyMcCabe–BenoitLagesson–LiljegrenMcCabe–LiljegrenLagesson–BenoitRielly–LiljegrenRielly–McCabeRielly–Benoit
Tarasenko–Pinto–Greig3:020.27–0.194:120.29–0.172:280.32–0.113:140.00–0.172:410.44–0.123:450.00–0.111:370.12–0.07
Norris–Batherson–Tkachuk6:230.18–0.511:550.15–0.001:020.01–0.165:260.32–0.534:030.00–0.180:300.00–0.00
Giroux–Joseph–Stützle1:070.00–0.293:400.78–0.543:200.03–0.560:550.00–0.003:470.02–0.252:260.41–0.441:450.01–0.541:350.00–0.140:410.00–0.000:330.36–0.00
Kubalik–Kastelic–Kelly1:290.00–0.003:490.17–0.001:380.03–0.001:200.01–0.002:020.13–0.00
Kelly–Pinto–Greig0:420.00–0.040:420.00–0.040:450.26–0.00
Norris–Kelly–Tkachuk0:540.07–0.050:550.07–0.03
Chabot–Zub7:140.32–0.774:240.81–0.173:140.32–0.007:580.26–0.594:460.54–0.371:560.17–0.001:360.12–0.000:510.26–0.000:360.36–0.00
Chychrun–Bernard-Docker3:460.20–0.215:390.57–0.701:570.32–0.160:580.00–0.005:370.16–0.484:310.59–0.472:280.00–0.001:540.00–0.121:210.32–0.000:380.02–0.00
Hamonic–Brannstrom1:010.00–0.067:200.07–1.211:090.00–0.002:570.02–0.561:440.00–0.004:010.05–0.690:500.09–0.000:570.00–0.000:430.00–0.01
Hamonic–Chabot0:300.00–0.140:330.00–0.14
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndTkachuk FNorris FBatherson FStützle FJoseph FGiroux FGreig FTarasenko FPinto FKubalik FKastelic FKelly FZub DChabot DBernard-Docker DChychrun DHamonic DBrannstrom DKorpisalo GMarner FKnies FMatthews FNylander FBertuzzi FTavares FDomi FGregor FRobertson FHolmberg FMcMann FReaves FRielly DBrodie DBenoit DMcCabe DLagesson DLiljegren DJones G
OTTTORFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2626:011:001:5242
Morgan RiellyTOR3124:050:471:3652
Jake McCabeTOR3022:210:451:3113
TJ BrodieTOR2922:060:461:5224
Artem ZubOTT2421:420:541:2622
Jakob ChychrunOTT2621:160:491:1210
Auston MatthewsTOR2420:430:521:3715
Shane PintoOTT2520:140:492:1031
Mitch MarnerTOR2519:320:471:3415
Timothy LiljegrenTOR2519:150:461:2341
Ridly GreigOTT2319:000:501:5520
Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT2418:560:471:4610
Josh NorrisOTT2618:520:441:4760
Brady TkachukOTT2518:230:441:4750
William NylanderTOR2118:180:522:0811
John TavaresTOR2117:390:501:2521
Simon BenoitTOR2917:330:361:2902
Vladimir TarasenkoOTT2616:570:391:2821
Max DomiTOR2016:530:511:2211
Tyler BertuzziTOR2016:490:501:1631
Tim StützleOTT2216:370:451:2321
Drake BathersonOTT2216:170:441:1230
Noah GregorTOR2115:580:461:2011
Claude GirouxOTT2115:510:451:4831
Matthew KniesTOR2115:080:431:2013
Erik BrannstromOTT2014:480:441:3301
Travis HamonicOTT2014:170:431:1302
Nick RobertsonTOR1914:090:451:1111
Mathieu JosephOTT2013:590:421:1020
William LagessonTOR1913:140:421:1201
Parker KellyOTT2011:330:351:0611
Pontus HolmbergTOR139:100:421:1410
Dominik KubalikOTT148:090:351:0301
Bobby McMannTOR107:220:441:0910
Mark KastelicOTT137:080:331:0001
Ryan ReavesTOR117:010:381:0610