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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 15, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo

Florida Panthers 4, Buffalo Sabres 0

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Florida Panthers win this game 71% of the time.

BUF winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

BUF forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Verhaeghe–Barkov–ReinhartCousins–Bennett–TkachukRodrigues–Luostarinen–LundellStenlund–Lomberg–GadjovichVerhaeghe–Rodrigues–LundellMontour–MikkolaEkblad–ForslingEkman-Larsson–KulikovEkman-Larsson–MontourKulikov–MikkolaMontour–Forsling
Cozens–Peterka–Benson1:490.02–0.005:220.17–0.212:220.06–0.061:070.00–0.002:080.13–0.213:180.00–0.065:000.18–0.010:560.00–0.00
Tuch–Greenway–Mittelstadt6:150.39–0.242:230.14–0.002:430.18–0.061:360.00–0.18
Girgensons–Olofsson–Krebs1:400.13–0.113:530.17–0.303:190.31–0.000:430.00–0.001:490.00–0.300:470.03–0.00
Okposo–Skinner–Thompson3:340.05–0.471:040.00–0.001:540.03–0.301:240.02–0.061:000.00–0.110:400.00–0.04
Skinner–Tuch–Thompson1:000.00–0.000:450.00–0.000:410.02–0.000:560.26–0.000:420.00–0.002:040.28–0.000:360.00–0.00
Okposo–Greenway–Mittelstadt1:090.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:320.00–0.000:500.00–0.00
Skinner–Olofsson–Thompson1:030.00–0.050:520.00–0.05
Mittelstadt–Peterka–Benson0:360.00–0.00
Okposo–Girgensons–Krebs0:550.00–0.00
Jokiharju–Dahlin5:440.30–0.193:570.09–0.213:260.02–0.372:050.01–0.066:400.23–0.535:310.18–0.122:550.05–0.140:530.00–0.000:440.00–0.04
Clifton–Bryson2:480.06–0.005:080.18–0.121:270.02–0.161:420.26–0.030:490.26–0.002:550.29–0.005:390.31–0.061:480.06–0.110:480.11–0.03
Johnson–Johnson0:570.11–0.022:230.00–0.000:560.05–0.360:370.00–0.002:330.06–0.02
Clifton–Dahlin2:140.03–0.001:040.01–0.000:440.02–0.000:500.03–0.00
Clifton–Johnson1:240.02–0.000:410.02–0.001:380.00–0.00
Jokiharju–Bryson0:330.00–0.000:360.00–0.000:400.00–0.00
Johnson–Dahlin0:320.00–0.140:310.00–0.000:330.00–0.300:380.00–0.051:100.00–0.44
Johnson–Bryson0:330.00–0.001:010.00–0.050:320.00–0.050:350.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndGreenway FMittelstadt FTuch FPeterka FBenson FCozens FOkposo FThompson FSkinner FKrebs FGirgensons FOlofsson FJokiharju DDahlin DClifton DBryson DJohnson DJohnson DComrie GReinhart FBarkov FVerhaeghe FBennett FTkachuk FCousins FLuostarinen FRodrigues FLundell FGadjovich FStenlund FLomberg FMontour DMikkola DEkblad DForsling DKulikov DEkman-Larsson DStolarz G
BUFFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF3029:290:592:3954
Henri JokiharjuBUF2924:260:512:0951
Brandon MontourFLA2422:300:561:5931
Connor CliftonBUF2921:430:451:2825
Gustav ForslingFLA2320:420:541:2205
Niko MikkolaFLA2419:320:491:3013
Aleksander BarkovFLA2119:150:552:4825
Sam ReinhartFLA2119:060:552:3225
Aaron EkbladFLA2319:000:501:2635
Carter VerhaegheFLA1818:431:022:3022
Jacob BrysonBUF2518:340:451:1814
JJ PeterkaBUF1818:261:011:2513
Dylan CozensBUF2218:150:501:1646
Oliver Ekman-LarssonFLA2117:470:511:4322
Alex TuchBUF2017:220:521:5433
Dmitry KulikovFLA2217:210:471:2713
Zach BensonBUF1917:110:541:2424
Matthew TkachukFLA2117:030:491:5862
Tage ThompsonBUF1716:330:581:3434
Jordan GreenwayBUF1915:520:501:2522
Casey MittelstadtBUF1815:320:521:3121
Jeff SkinnerBUF1714:580:531:3131
Sam BennettFLA1914:360:461:1142
Evan RodriguesFLA1714:110:501:2823
Anton LundellFLA1713:520:491:1823
Kevin StenlundFLA1913:520:441:1224
Eetu LuostarinenFLA1913:420:431:1024
Kyle OkposoBUF1713:030:461:3643
Nick CousinsFLA1912:550:411:0742
Peyton KrebsBUF1812:090:411:2935
Erik JohnsonBUF1511:490:472:1622
Victor OlofssonBUF1411:320:491:1732
Ryan LombergFLA1711:250:401:0832
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1610:500:411:1541
Jonah GadjovichFLA1310:440:501:1522
Ryan JohnsonBUF129:060:461:1521