Sun, Feb 25, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Carolina Hurricanes 2, Buffalo Sabres 3 (SO)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 52% of the time.
42%
10%
40%
BUF winsCAR wins
Carolina Hurricanes
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:28 | 0.23 | 45.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 21:48 | 0.33 | 62.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:14 | 0.07 | 69.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:09 | 0.10 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:55 | 0.01 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 20:46 | 0.10 | 39.4% | +29.9 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 4 | 19:04 | 0.28 | 65.3% | +44.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:52 | 0.51 | 55.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 16:49 | 0.24 | 10.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.18 | 51.9% | +29.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 16:03 | 0.06 | 58.9% | +14.7 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:46 | 0.08 | 46.8% | +14.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 15:39 | 0.15 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:38 | 0.16 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:30 | 0.22 | 61.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:45 | 0.13 | 33.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 11:33 | 0.16 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:12 | 0.00 | 73.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 3.07 | +1.1 | 65:00 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 31:43 | 0.41 | 54.2% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 23:05 | 0.13 | 43.2% | +40.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:51 | 0.05 | 55.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 20:53 | 0.07 | 28.8% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 20:33 | 0.08 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 20:06 | 0.31 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 18:55 | 0.10 | 25.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 18:35 | 0.84 | 69.0% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.01 | 40.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 18:18 | 0.47 | 65.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:21 | 0.00 | 65.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 15:02 | 0.07 | 64.9% | +40.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:28 | 0.15 | 59.0% | +40.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:56 | 0.00 | 62.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 10:52 | 0.21 | 43.3% | +19.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:12 | 0.00 | 29.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:59 | 0.13 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 9:54 | 0.06 | 39.8% | 0.0 |
| W | 32 | 30 | 2 | .938 | 2.99 | +1.0 | 65:00 |