Mon, Feb 26, 2024·Capital One Arena, Washington
Ottawa Senators 3, Washington Capitals 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 79% of the time.
70%
9%
15%
WSH winsOTT wins
Ottawa Senators
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 24:46 | 0.04 | 27.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 20:34 | 0.00 | 26.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:20 | 0.00 | 56.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:55 | 0.02 | 28.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:52 | 0.00 | 32.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:32 | 0.13 | 34.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 17:48 | 0.12 | 31.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:51 | 0.16 | 29.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 16:32 | 0.22 | 74.5% | +42.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 1 | 16:12 | 0.28 | 62.4% | +42.6 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:03 | 0.26 | 53.7% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:43 | 0.00 | 14.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:51 | 0.02 | 30.8% | +17.8 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 13:34 | 0.10 | 22.3% | +12.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 12:59 | 0.10 | 16.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 12:32 | 0.00 | 1.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:29 | 0.01 | 1.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:27 | 0.00 | 1.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 10 | 6 | 4 | .600 | 1.07 | −2.9 | 20:00 | |
| – | 10 | 8 | 2 | .800 | 1.87 | −0.1 | 40:00 |
Washington Capitals
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 23:53 | 0.04 | 73.8% | +12.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 2 | 22:18 | 0.09 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 19:27 | 0.09 | 50.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.00 | 80.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 1 | 17:59 | 0.15 | 25.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.51 | 72.5% | +37.2 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 1 | 16:58 | 0.07 | 74.3% | +23.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 16:38 | 0.00 | 51.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 16:37 | 0.07 | 2.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +2 | 2 | 16:01 | 0.09 | 81.6% | +36.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:52 | 0.21 | 84.4% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 15:24 | 0.10 | 82.8% | +12.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −3 | 1 | 15:14 | 0.02 | 25.0% | +12.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +3 | 2 | 15:08 | 0.34 | 88.3% | +25.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 13:46 | 0.12 | 88.3% | +20.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 13:11 | 0.29 | 90.5% | +12.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:25 | 0.49 | 84.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 11:02 | 0.27 | 89.6% | +19.8 |
| W | 21 | 18 | 3 | .857 | 1.46 | −1.5 | 60:00 |