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Ice Lab

Mon, Feb 26, 2024·Capital One Arena, Washington

Ottawa Senators 3, Washington Capitals 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Washington Capitals win this game 79% of the time.

WSH winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Giroux–Joseph–StützleTarasenko–Tkachuk–PintoNorris–Batherson–GreigKubalik–Kastelic–KellyChabot–BrannstromBernard-Docker–SandersonHamonic–ChychrunChabot–ChychrunHamonic–BrannstromChabot–Bernard-Docker
Mantha–McMichael–Protas9:500.67–0.251:100.00–0.005:390.39–0.252:120.03–0.002:410.16–0.001:250.09–0.00
Pacioretty–Sgarbossa–Dube0:350.00–0.000:440.00–0.007:240.35–0.100:420.00–0.011:550.00–0.004:420.00–0.001:540.35–0.000:340.00–0.100:400.00–0.010:380.29–0.00
Ovechkin–Wilson–Strome7:030.02–0.440:410.00–0.000:410.00–0.002:250.00–0.082:390.01–0.123:110.00–0.270:580.01–0.16
Aube-Kubel–Malenstyn–Lapierre1:290.00–0.081:040.00–0.005:350.38–0.003:430.21–0.002:420.00–0.000:540.00–0.001:140.12–0.00
Sgarbossa–Aube-Kubel–Malenstyn0:510.00–0.020:330.00–0.000:440.11–0.02
Carlson–Sandin6:440.12–0.343:110.22–0.021:390.00–0.003:200.31–0.005:340.31–0.256:090.04–0.002:180.11–0.112:270.29–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Alexeyev2:430.39–0.004:520.01–0.321:210.00–0.000:430.00–0.005:380.39–0.082:190.00–0.121:220.00–0.160:510.01–0.05
Edmundson–Bear0:510.00–0.010:510.00–0.066:100.39–0.001:570.24–0.012:070.18–0.002:250.04–0.004:230.47–0.000:330.00–0.060:380.00–0.01
Edmundson–van Riemsdyk1:420.01–0.001:200.00–0.141:230.00–0.002:460.01–0.000:590.00–0.100:410.15–0.04
Bear–Alexeyev0:510.00–0.000:360.00–0.101:380.12–0.000:490.00–0.000:470.00–0.101:410.12–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Sandin0:500.00–0.000:340.00–0.000:400.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Carlson–Edmundson0:480.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndProtas FMcMichael FMantha FOvechkin FWilson FStrome FSgarbossa FPacioretty FDube FAube-Kubel FLapierre FMalenstyn FSandin DCarlson Dvan Riemsdyk DAlexeyev DBear DEdmundson DKuemper GStützle FJoseph FGiroux FTarasenko FTkachuk FPinto FBatherson FNorris FGreig FKastelic FKubalik FKelly FBernard-Docker DSanderson DBrannstrom DChabot DChychrun DHamonic DForsberg GKorpisalo G
WSHOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Thomas ChabotOTT2924:460:511:5022
John CarlsonWSH2923:530:492:5445
Rasmus SandinWSH2822:180:481:3821
Erik BrannstromOTT2620:340:471:5012
Jake SandersonOTT3120:200:391:1053
Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT2919:550:411:1033
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2619:270:451:2301
Claude GirouxOTT2418:520:471:5243
Jakob ChychrunOTT2818:320:401:0712
Joel EdmundsonWSH2518:300:441:0815
Tom WilsonWSH2317:590:471:3341
Tim StützleOTT2117:480:511:2130
Connor McMichaelWSH2317:370:461:2114
Anthony ManthaWSH1916:580:543:0234
Mathieu JosephOTT2216:510:461:3020
Alexander AlexeyevWSH2016:380:501:2500
Alex OvechkinWSH1916:370:522:0230
Brady TkachukOTT2216:320:451:0930
Shane PintoOTT2216:120:441:1030
Vladimir TarasenkoOTT2116:030:461:2010
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2216:010:441:2515
Michael SgarbossaWSH2115:520:451:1523
Ridly GreigOTT2015:430:471:0411
Ethan BearWSH1915:240:491:2511
Dylan StromeWSH2015:140:461:3430
Beck MalenstynWSH1915:080:481:1521
Travis HamonicOTT2514:510:361:2111
Max PaciorettyWSH1913:460:431:1121
Drake BathersonOTT1813:340:451:0612
Nicolas Aube-KubelWSH1613:110:491:2820
Josh NorrisOTT1812:590:431:0211
Parker KellyOTT2012:320:381:3604
Pierrick DubeWSH1912:250:391:2322
Hendrix LapierreWSH1411:020:471:1420
Mark KastelicOTT1610:290:391:2101
Dominik KubalikOTT159:270:381:2601