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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 29, 2024·Nationwide Arena, Columbus

Carolina Hurricanes 4, Columbus Blue Jackets 2

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Carolina Hurricanes win this game 83% of the time.

CBJ winsCAR wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

CBJ forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against CAR's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bunting–Necas–DruryTeravainen–Aho–SvechnikovStaal–Martinook–JarvisFast–Noesen–KotkaniemiStaal–Martinook–BuntingSkjei–PesceOrlov–ChatfieldBurns–SlavinSlavin–PesceOrlov–Slavin
Nylander–Texier–Sillinger6:400.67–0.151:570.00–0.321:140.00–0.051:260.03–0.120:520.00–0.001:330.00–0.007:100.43–0.332:090.07–0.200:510.20–0.00
Gaudreau–Jenner–Roslovic1:140.05–0.117:540.25–1.091:570.00–0.047:580.40–1.181:440.01–0.001:460.00–0.06
Kuraly–Olivier–Danforth1:130.01–0.006:060.20–0.272:490.01–0.023:380.28–0.050:460.00–0.08
Marchenko–Voronkov–Chinakhov0:490.00–0.001:060.00–0.004:300.00–0.052:450.00–0.040:470.00–0.003:270.00–0.03
Danforth–Marchenko–Voronkov1:460.00–0.010:540.00–0.000:520.00–0.01
Gudbranson–Werenski1:360.18–0.134:240.24–1.094:130.00–0.133:290.03–0.266:410.35–1.153:360.15–0.193:070.07–0.090:330.00–0.08
Severson–Provorov5:120.20–0.032:050.01–0.062:550.01–0.012:130.14–0.123:140.05–0.135:150.17–0.033:420.14–0.060:480.03–0.00
Peeke–Bean4:190.24–0.153:050.00–0.231:300.00–0.001:570.02–0.002:200.00–0.033:290.04–0.134:420.02–0.230:550.20–0.00
Severson–Werenski0:550.00–0.011:170.00–0.031:070.00–0.031:020.00–0.01
Werenski–Bean0:320.00–0.000:410.00–0.001:130.00–0.00
Gudbranson–Provorov0:560.00–0.000:440.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndVoronkov FChinakhov FMarchenko FJenner FRoslovic FGaudreau FSillinger FTexier FNylander FDanforth FKuraly FOlivier FProvorov DSeverson DGudbranson DWerenski DPeeke DBean DTarasov GStaal FJarvis FMartinook FTeravainen FSvechnikov FAho FDrury FNecas FBunting FNoesen FFast FKotkaniemi FBurns DSlavin DSkjei DPesce DOrlov DChatfield DMartin G
CBJCARFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Zach WerenskiCBJ2425:401:042:4831
Jaccob SlavinCAR2421:210:532:0733
Damon SeversonCBJ2320:590:551:5122
Brady SkjeiCAR2120:430:591:2312
Ivan ProvorovCBJ2520:370:491:5522
Brett PesceCAR2120:220:581:5133
Johnny GaudreauCBJ2020:161:011:4123
Dmitry OrlovCAR1720:161:121:4621
Erik GudbransonCBJ2020:121:012:0511
Alex NylanderCBJ1819:401:062:0723
Brent BurnsCAR2319:310:511:2533
Boone JennerCBJ2119:210:551:4335
Jack RoslovicCBJ2018:010:541:2224
Michael BuntingCAR1617:241:052:2830
Martin NecasCAR1717:081:001:3230
Cole SillingerCBJ1917:050:542:0512
Sebastian AhoCAR1917:030:541:2841
Jake BeanCBJ2216:450:461:2916
Jack DruryCAR1716:140:571:3820
Seth JarvisCAR2016:130:491:1725
Teuvo TeravainenCAR1715:550:561:1230
Jalen ChatfieldCAR1615:490:591:4321
Andrei SvechnikovCAR1715:260:541:1941
Alexandre TexierCBJ1615:130:571:5602
Jordan StaalCAR1915:040:481:3005
Kirill MarchenkoCBJ1614:410:551:4432
Andrew PeekeCBJ1814:080:471:1915
Jordan MartinookCAR1713:190:471:2603
Justin DanforthCBJ1513:110:531:3404
Sean KuralyCBJ1512:550:521:4702
Jesper FastCAR1411:460:501:5222
Dmitri VoronkovCBJ1411:150:481:2532
Stefan NoesenCAR1310:510:501:3611
Jesperi KotkaniemiCAR1310:440:501:1821
Mathieu OlivierCBJ1310:200:481:2013
Egor ChinakhovCBJ119:030:491:2420