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Ice Lab

Thu, Feb 29, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa

Buffalo Sabres 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.

TBL winsBUF wins

Buffalo Sabres

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Rasmus DahlinD · #261120227:550.3237.8%+85.5
Owen PowerD · #250000024:180.0942.2%0.0
Casey MittelstadtC · #370110020:210.0040.1%+55.1
Henri JokiharjuD · #100000218:590.0524.8%0.0
Jordan GreenwayLW · #12011+1418:150.3837.7%+55.1
Alex TuchRW · #89101+1217:340.2829.8%+17.5
Tage ThompsonC · #72101+1317:230.3632.5%+30.3
Dylan CozensC · #24000−1216:570.1520.8%0.0
Connor CliftonD · #750000116:280.0636.0%0.0
Jacob BrysonD · #780000016:180.0038.5%0.0
Eric RobinsonLW · #500000215:280.1353.8%0.0
Ryan JohnsonD · #330000114:400.0243.7%0.0
Zemgus GirgensonsC · #280000014:250.0462.6%0.0
Kyle OkposoRW · #210000113:280.0749.7%0.0
Jeff SkinnerLW · #530000213:130.1012.5%0.0
Zach BensonLW · #9000−1112:460.0733.1%0.0
JJ PeterkaRW · #77000−1011:570.0035.9%0.0
Peyton KrebsC · #190000010:450.0074.6%0.0
Ukko-Pekka Luukkonen#1W23212.9132.18+0.261:42

Tampa Bay Lightning

Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).

Victor HedmanD · #77011−1224:110.3165.0%+16.3
Nikita KucherovRW · #86011−1423:210.4961.5%+16.3
Erik CernakD · #81011+1122:110.0071.0%+23.5
Brandon HagelLW · #38000−1121:010.1973.8%0.0
Anthony CirelliC · #71011+1020:100.0076.9%+23.5
Steven StamkosC · #910000318:500.4070.4%0.0
Brayden PointC · #21101−1218:360.3771.5%+16.3
Haydn FleuryD · #7000+1017:110.0362.3%0.0
Calvin de HaanD · #440000116:290.0058.6%0.0
Nick PaulLW · #200000115:520.0664.0%0.0
Luke GlendeningC · #110000214:550.0629.7%0.0
Darren RaddyshD · #430000014:520.0072.6%0.0
Tyler MotteC · #640000214:240.0444.4%0.0
Nick PerbixD · #480000013:340.0058.5%0.0
Conor ShearyLW · #730000113:290.0532.6%0.0
Mitchell ChaffeeRW · #41101+1112:380.0958.2%+23.5
Michael EyssimontC · #23000+1211:160.1049.7%0.0
Max CrozierD · #65000−109:270.0045.8%0.0
Andrei Vasilevskiy#88O23203.8702.13−0.961:09