Thu, Feb 29, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Buffalo Sabres 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 2 (OT)
Three stars
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 51% of the time.
40%
11%
10%
39%
TBL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 27:55 | 0.32 | 37.8% | +85.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 24:18 | 0.09 | 42.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:21 | 0.00 | 40.1% | +55.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:59 | 0.05 | 24.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 18:15 | 0.38 | 37.7% | +55.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:34 | 0.28 | 29.8% | +17.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 17:23 | 0.36 | 32.5% | +30.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:57 | 0.15 | 20.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:28 | 0.06 | 36.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:18 | 0.00 | 38.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:28 | 0.13 | 53.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 14:40 | 0.02 | 43.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.04 | 62.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.07 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:13 | 0.10 | 12.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:46 | 0.07 | 33.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:57 | 0.00 | 35.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:45 | 0.00 | 74.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 23 | 21 | 2 | .913 | 2.18 | +0.2 | 61:42 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 24:11 | 0.31 | 65.0% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 23:21 | 0.49 | 61.5% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 22:11 | 0.00 | 71.0% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 21:01 | 0.19 | 73.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 20:10 | 0.00 | 76.9% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 18:50 | 0.40 | 70.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 18:36 | 0.37 | 71.5% | +16.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:11 | 0.03 | 62.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 16:29 | 0.00 | 58.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:52 | 0.06 | 64.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:55 | 0.06 | 29.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:52 | 0.00 | 72.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 14:24 | 0.04 | 44.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:34 | 0.00 | 58.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:29 | 0.05 | 32.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 12:38 | 0.09 | 58.2% | +23.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 11:16 | 0.10 | 49.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:27 | 0.00 | 45.8% | 0.0 |
| O | 23 | 20 | 3 | .870 | 2.13 | −0.9 | 61:09 |