Sat, Mar 2, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
Montréal Canadiens 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 4 (SO)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Montréal Canadiens win this game 59% of the time.
31%
10%
52%
TBL winsMTL wins
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 28:06 | 0.04 | 37.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 26:50 | 0.02 | 54.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 23:08 | 0.24 | 58.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 22:28 | 0.10 | 39.8% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 21:32 | 0.51 | 56.8% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 20:54 | 0.12 | 52.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 18:03 | 0.00 | 79.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 4 | 16:54 | 0.59 | 82.1% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 16:36 | 0.08 | 57.8% | +29.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 16:19 | 0.25 | 43.6% | +14.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 4 | 15:49 | 0.65 | 87.2% | +29.2 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 14:50 | 0.17 | 41.8% | +14.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 14:30 | 0.01 | 86.1% | +15.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:15 | 0.05 | 88.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:09 | 0.00 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:56 | 0.16 | 47.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:21 | 0.00 | 52.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 8:55 | 0.17 | 65.3% | 0.0 |
| O | 29 | 26 | 3 | .897 | 2.54 | −0.5 | 65:00 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 29:19 | 0.12 | 44.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 23:10 | 0.61 | 51.1% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 23:05 | 0.19 | 57.3% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 22:40 | 0.44 | 58.9% | +23.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 22:38 | 0.34 | 63.4% | +23.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 20:55 | 0.27 | 69.4% | +16.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 20:30 | 0.02 | 45.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +2 | 0 | 18:09 | 0.00 | 55.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 16:07 | 0.00 | 13.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 15:49 | 0.06 | 46.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 15:41 | 0.01 | 20.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 14:37 | 0.14 | 67.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 13:17 | 0.10 | 45.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 12:53 | 0.02 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 12:10 | 0.16 | 2.4% | +31.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 12:02 | 0.02 | 4.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:18 | 0.00 | 2.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 10:43 | 0.02 | 9.2% | 0.0 |
| W | 31 | 28 | 3 | .903 | 3.15 | +0.1 | 64:32 |