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Ice Lab

Thu, Mar 7, 2024·Bridgestone Arena, Nashville

Buffalo Sabres 2, Nashville Predators 4

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Nashville Predators win this game 85% of the time.

NSH winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

NSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tuch–Greenway–RobinsonCozens–Peterka–BensonOkposo–Skinner–GirgensonsOlofsson–Krebs–RousekRobinson–Cozens–PeterkaGirgensons–Olofsson–RousekOkposo–Skinner–KrebsTuch–Cozens–PeterkaOlofsson–Cozens–PeterkaDahlin–ByramJokiharju–PowerClifton–BrysonDahlin–Power
Nyquist–O'Reilly–Forsberg3:390.22–0.122:240.14–0.211:240.27–0.061:000.23–0.000:410.07–0.004:030.46–0.093:240.06–0.213:430.60–0.09
McCarron–Sherwood–Smith0:430.13–0.193:190.01–0.211:260.01–0.020:300.00–0.071:010.06–0.000:390.00–0.004:000.14–0.263:400.09–0.021:180.13–0.02
Jankowski–Novak–Evangelista0:380.03–0.010:430.00–0.001:330.09–0.000:330.02–0.001:360.00–0.060:390.03–0.002:080.11–0.00
Sissons–Gurianov–Glass0:310.00–0.000:510.00–0.000:330.00–0.000:440.00–0.000:540.00–0.001:010.00–0.001:440.00–0.00
Jankowski–Sissons–Evangelista0:330.00–0.000:330.14–0.000:560.00–0.000:400.14–0.00
Novak–Gurianov–Glass0:420.00–0.170:460.00–0.07
Jankowski–Sissons–Novak1:070.03–0.00
Lauzon–Carrier2:050.16–0.202:250.00–0.222:140.00–0.021:250.38–0.000:330.00–0.000:430.00–0.000:330.14–0.000:390.02–0.005:350.13–0.214:430.23–0.023:200.53–0.02
Josi–Fabbro3:090.17–0.002:490.12–0.051:290.27–0.001:030.00–0.000:350.00–0.000:510.07–0.005:300.46–0.053:350.02–0.003:440.34–0.000:320.00–0.00
McDonagh–Schenn1:460.33–0.091:380.01–0.072:370.09–0.300:420.06–0.000:470.00–0.000:320.00–0.004:310.16–0.262:570.24–0.003:110.09–0.26
McDonagh–Josi1:020.00–0.150:460.00–0.061:030.00–0.15
Josi–Carrier0:310.00–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndSmith FSherwood FMcCarron FForsberg FO'Reilly FNyquist FJankowski FEvangelista FNovak FGurianov FSissons FGlass FLauzon DCarrier DJosi DFabbro DSchenn DMcDonagh DSaros GGreenway FRobinson FTuch FPeterka FCozens FBenson FKrebs FOlofsson FRousek FGirgensons FOkposo FSkinner FByram DDahlin DPower DJokiharju DBryson DClifton DComrie G
NSHBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF3126:050:502:0376
Bowen ByramBUF3124:580:482:0386
Roman JosiNSH2522:350:541:5163
Dylan CozensBUF2522:230:542:0355
Owen PowerBUF2921:570:451:4844
Jeremy LauzonNSH2621:170:491:3015
Ryan McDonaghNSH2520:050:481:3042
Ryan O'ReillyNSH2620:000:461:1564
Alexandre CarrierNSH2519:480:481:2916
Jordan GreenwayBUF1819:401:063:1343
Filip ForsbergNSH2219:390:541:2150
Alex TuchBUF2219:160:532:0253
Gustav NyquistNSH2219:010:521:2750
Henri JokiharjuBUF2518:220:441:4642
Dante FabbroNSH1917:460:562:0813
JJ PeterkaBUF2117:250:501:5532
Michael McCarronNSH2317:120:451:3515
Cole SmithNSH2315:330:411:1114
Colton SissonsNSH2315:320:411:1638
Kyle OkposoBUF1715:250:542:0532
Mark JankowskiNSH2214:570:411:2526
Victor OlofssonBUF1714:360:521:3112
Luke SchennNSH1914:330:461:1411
Kiefer SherwoodNSH2014:010:421:1212
Connor CliftonBUF1714:000:491:5715
Eric RobinsonBUF1713:540:491:2612
Zemgus GirgensonsBUF1613:170:501:3231
Jacob BrysonBUF1513:130:531:5502
Tommy NovakNSH1712:350:441:2120
Zach BensonBUF1912:090:381:5222
Jeff SkinnerBUF1511:510:471:2532
Peyton KrebsBUF1511:420:471:1614
Cody GlassNSH1611:060:421:0532
Luke EvangelistaNSH1610:310:391:1723
Lukas RousekBUF118:330:471:3512
Denis GurianovNSH117:490:431:1411