Tue, Mar 12, 2024·KeyBank Center, Buffalo
Detroit Red Wings 3, Buffalo Sabres 7
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Buffalo Sabres win this game 72% of the time.
64%
8%
21%
BUF winsDET wins
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 21:28 | 0.02 | 26.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 21:21 | 0.13 | 23.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:07 | 0.15 | 32.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:30 | 0.07 | 55.5% | +1.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | −4 | 1 | 18:35 | 0.13 | 35.2% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 18:17 | 0.00 | 70.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 0 | 17:41 | 0.00 | 38.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 17:37 | 0.37 | 72.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 17:37 | 0.02 | 60.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 0 | 17:37 | 0.00 | 76.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −2 | 3 | 17:29 | 0.62 | 26.5% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 17:07 | 0.30 | 68.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.15 | 50.1% | +12.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.01 | 62.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −3 | 0 | 11:26 | 0.00 | 18.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 3 | 11:24 | 0.27 | 43.3% | +1.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −4 | 1 | 7:41 | 0.20 | 18.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 5:18 | 0.03 | 16.5% | 0.0 |
| L | 13 | 9 | 4 | .692 | 1.26 | −2.7 | 15:29 | |
| – | 26 | 23 | 3 | .885 | 2.57 | −0.4 | 44:31 |
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +4 | 4 | 23:14 | 0.39 | 70.7% | +13.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 2 | 22:15 | 0.09 | 69.6% | +12.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 19:35 | 0.82 | 80.3% | +16.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 19:19 | 0.05 | 58.7% | +3.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 19:16 | 0.14 | 53.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 3 | 17:53 | 0.09 | 79.0% | +5.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +3 | 5 | 17:40 | 0.68 | 68.0% | +7.6 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:44 | 0.05 | 29.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:57 | 0.02 | 37.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 15:43 | 0.37 | 47.0% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +2 | 2 | 15:09 | 0.15 | 58.0% | +24.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:53 | 0.04 | 41.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:26 | 0.00 | 34.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:22 | 0.07 | 27.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +4 | 3 | 13:16 | 0.21 | 77.4% | +1.4 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 13:16 | 0.34 | 35.2% | +7.6 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +3 | 3 | 12:55 | 0.33 | 59.5% | +32.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 11:48 | 0.00 | 25.7% | 0.0 |
| W | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.47 | −0.5 | 59:10 |