Thu, Mar 14, 2024·Amalie Arena, Tampa
New York Rangers 3, Tampa Bay Lightning 6
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 70% of the time.
61%
9%
23%
TBL winsNYR wins
New York Rangers
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 4 | 22:38 | 0.17 | 35.4% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 22:13 | 0.23 | 49.0% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 21:18 | 0.02 | 45.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 19:20 | 0.15 | 56.8% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 18:47 | 0.15 | 64.5% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 18:30 | 0.00 | 51.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 18:22 | 0.19 | 72.2% | +16.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 17:20 | 0.05 | 37.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 17:09 | 0.17 | 48.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 15:48 | 0.30 | 24.7% | +26.1 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:33 | 0.00 | 85.6% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 14:33 | 0.21 | 26.2% | +41.4 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 2 | 14:04 | 0.16 | 28.7% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:46 | 0.00 | 55.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 13:21 | 0.11 | 65.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:54 | 0.23 | 84.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 10:45 | 0.10 | 53.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:12 | 0.01 | 20.9% | 0.0 |
| L | 27 | 22 | 5 | .815 | 2.52 | −2.5 | 59:50 |
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +4 | 1 | 24:47 | 0.15 | 77.1% | +36.7 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 22:17 | 0.00 | 47.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 21:56 | 0.03 | 41.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 20:19 | 0.00 | 38.6% | +25.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 18:58 | 0.01 | 51.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.19 | 42.1% | 0.0 | |
| 3 | 3 | 6 | +3 | 6 | 17:36 | 0.95 | 66.4% | +104.1 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 17:16 | 0.39 | 42.3% | +25.8 | |
| 1 | 4 | 5 | +2 | 1 | 16:44 | 0.85 | 60.8% | +78.4 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 16:24 | 0.01 | 56.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +3 | 4 | 14:47 | 0.44 | 80.7% | +24.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 13:58 | 0.05 | 35.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 13:54 | 0.02 | 62.9% | +1.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 13:40 | 0.04 | 42.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:16 | 0.02 | 6.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 11:04 | 0.00 | 6.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:54 | 0.09 | 75.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 9:31 | 0.00 | 6.5% | 0.0 |
| W | 28 | 25 | 3 | .893 | 2.26 | −0.7 | 59:57 |