Sat, Mar 16, 2024·UBS Arena, Elmont
Ottawa Senators 4, New York Islanders 3 (OT)
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 57% of the time.
32%
11%
9%
49%
NYI winsOTT wins
Who was on the ice
Model-basedLine matchups and every shift of the game.
NYI forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.
| Batherson–Tkachuk–Pinto | Giroux–Greig–Stützle | Katchouk–Kastelic–Kelly | Kubalik–Joseph–Ostapchuk | Giroux–Joseph–Stützle | Kubalik–Greig–Ostapchuk | Kubalik–Joseph–Stützle | Joseph–Kelly–Ostapchuk | Sanderson–Zub | Chychrun–Bernard-Docker | Brannstrom–Guenette | Chychrun–Guenette | Brannstrom–Bernard-Docker | Chychrun–Brannstrom | Chychrun–Sanderson | Brannstrom–Zub | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nelson–Horvat–Barzal | 1:440.13–0.00 | 3:590.00–0.27 | 2:250.00–0.00 | 0:530.00–0.00 | 0:530.10–0.00 | 3:460.00–0.00 | 3:270.13–0.28 | 1:030.17–0.00 | 0:450.00–0.00 | 0:540.10–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | 0:370.00–0.00 | ||||
| Cizikas–Engvall–Holmstrom | 1:250.03–0.12 | 0:440.00–0.00 | 1:130.00–0.00 | 3:250.17–0.00 | 1:000.02–0.00 | 0:590.07–0.00 | 2:320.02–0.00 | 3:390.20–0.00 | 2:400.12–0.12 | 0:400.00–0.00 | 0:300.00–0.00 | |||||
| Clutterbuck–Martin–MacLean | 1:560.03–0.02 | 0:470.31–0.07 | 1:100.00–0.06 | 0:500.01–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 1:340.03–0.00 | 0:500.00–0.01 | 2:380.32–0.13 | 1:010.08–0.00 | |||||||
| Palmieri–Lee–Pageau | 3:260.05–0.07 | 1:480.11–0.17 | 0:310.00–0.02 | 3:360.03–0.24 | 1:280.12–0.02 | 0:410.03–0.00 | 1:040.00–0.06 | |||||||||
| Lee–Pageau–Barzal | 2:160.10–0.08 | 0:420.00–0.00 | 1:220.00–0.08 | 1:420.10–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Palmieri–Nelson–Horvat | 1:590.00–0.13 | 0:430.00–0.00 | 0:390.00–0.00 | 0:480.00–0.13 | ||||||||||||
| Clutterbuck–Engvall–MacLean | 0:380.00–0.08 | 0:540.00–0.09 | ||||||||||||||
| Reilly–Aho | 1:100.00–0.01 | 1:120.00–0.00 | 3:070.00–0.23 | 2:590.13–0.00 | 0:310.00–0.00 | 1:430.00–0.00 | 1:080.10–0.00 | 4:510.00–0.00 | 2:330.12–0.00 | 2:460.00–0.10 | 1:090.00–0.15 | 1:190.10–0.00 | ||||
| Pulock–Romanov | 5:120.00–0.20 | 1:340.31–0.07 | 2:020.04–0.02 | 2:030.04–0.07 | 1:110.00–0.02 | 4:290.00–0.12 | 2:470.08–0.02 | 2:560.36–0.19 | 1:570.17–0.06 | 0:420.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Pelech–Dobson | 3:250.16–0.14 | 3:030.00–0.34 | 0:350.00–0.00 | 0:380.01–0.00 | 2:490.02–0.00 | 3:390.05–0.20 | 5:330.13–0.27 | 1:450.01–0.22 | 0:560.00–0.00 | 0:360.00–0.00 | ||||||
| Pelech–Pulock | 1:570.06–0.16 | 0:340.00–0.00 | 0:570.03–0.00 | 1:200.03–0.00 | ||||||||||||
| Dobson–Romanov | 0:590.00–0.00 | 1:040.01–0.03 | 0:330.00–0.00 | |||||||||||||
| Pulock–Aho | 0:440.10–0.00 | 0:400.00–0.06 | 0:520.10–0.04 | 0:330.00–0.06 |
Every shift, one row per player.
NYIOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.
Shift totals
 Jake SandersonOTT | 32 | 25:09 | 0:47 | 1:30 | 2 | 7 |
 Jakob ChychrunOTT | 29 | 25:05 | 0:52 | 1:50 | 3 | 2 |
 Ryan PulockNYI | 30 | 24:12 | 0:48 | 1:38 | 4 | 4 |
 Tim StützleOTT | 24 | 23:44 | 0:59 | 2:53 | 3 | 1 |
 Noah DobsonNYI | 26 | 23:20 | 0:54 | 1:47 | 4 | 1 |
 Claude GirouxOTT | 27 | 22:24 | 0:50 | 2:48 | 2 | 4 |
 Brock NelsonNYI | 24 | 22:07 | 0:55 | 1:38 | 6 | 1 |
 Mathew BarzalNYI | 24 | 22:02 | 0:55 | 1:28 | 3 | 2 |
 Bo HorvatNYI | 24 | 21:47 | 0:54 | 1:38 | 5 | 1 |
 Artem ZubOTT | 28 | 21:45 | 0:47 | 2:23 | 0 | 6 |
 Adam PelechNYI | 27 | 21:18 | 0:47 | 1:48 | 2 | 3 |
 Mike ReillyNYI | 24 | 19:57 | 0:50 | 1:30 | 4 | 1 |
 Drake BathersonOTT | 26 | 19:35 | 0:45 | 1:22 | 3 | 3 |
 Brady TkachukOTT | 24 | 19:15 | 0:48 | 1:34 | 2 | 4 |
 Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT | 24 | 18:15 | 0:46 | 1:34 | 1 | 2 |
 Erik BrannstromOTT | 24 | 17:31 | 0:44 | 1:35 | 0 | 1 |
 Alexander RomanovNYI | 22 | 17:21 | 0:47 | 1:27 | 1 | 1 |
 Kyle PalmieriNYI | 24 | 17:00 | 0:43 | 1:23 | 6 | 2 |
 Mathieu JosephOTT | 21 | 16:50 | 0:48 | 1:25 | 1 | 2 |
 Sebastian AhoNYI | 20 | 16:38 | 0:50 | 1:29 | 2 | 0 |
 Jean-Gabriel PageauNYI | 26 | 16:35 | 0:38 | 0:59 | 4 | 3 |
 Shane PintoOTT | 26 | 16:31 | 0:38 | 1:23 | 1 | 4 |
 Anders LeeNYI | 22 | 15:49 | 0:43 | 1:09 | 4 | 1 |
 Pierre EngvallNYI | 20 | 15:34 | 0:47 | 1:32 | 2 | 1 |
 Casey CizikasNYI | 22 | 15:31 | 0:42 | 1:19 | 1 | 3 |
 Ridly GreigOTT | 21 | 15:24 | 0:44 | 1:05 | 2 | 1 |
 Maxence GuenetteOTT | 19 | 14:45 | 0:47 | 1:05 | 0 | 1 |
 Simon HolmstromNYI | 19 | 13:05 | 0:41 | 1:07 | 0 | 1 |
 Dominik KubalikOTT | 17 | 12:27 | 0:44 | 1:37 | 0 | 1 |
 Parker KellyOTT | 18 | 11:54 | 0:40 | 1:12 | 0 | 2 |
 Cal ClutterbuckNYI | 16 | 11:50 | 0:44 | 1:23 | 3 | 2 |
 Zack OstapchukOTT | 16 | 11:22 | 0:43 | 1:11 | 0 | 1 |
 Kyle MacLeanNYI | 13 | 10:04 | 0:46 | 1:23 | 2 | 0 |
 Mark KastelicOTT | 15 | 9:24 | 0:38 | 0:58 | 0 | 1 |
 Boris KatchoukOTT | 14 | 8:50 | 0:38 | 0:56 | 0 | 2 |
 Matt MartinNYI | 12 | 8:41 | 0:43 | 1:14 | 2 | 0 |