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Ice Lab

Mon, Apr 1, 2024·Scotiabank Arena, Toronto

Florida Panthers 4, Toronto Maple Leafs 6

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Toronto Maple Leafs win this game 58% of the time.

TOR winsFLA wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

TOR forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against FLA's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Bennett–Rodrigues–TkachukVerhaeghe–Barkov–ReinhartStenlund–Lomberg–GadjovichTarasenko–Luostarinen–LundellLomberg–Luostarinen–LundellTarasenko–Barkov–ReinhartStenlund–Lomberg–LuostarinenEkblad–ForslingMontour–MikkolaEkman-Larsson–KulikovEkman-Larsson–MontourKulikov–MikkolaKulikov–MontourEkman-Larsson–MikkolaMontour–Forsling
Bertuzzi–Domi–Matthews3:060.18–0.061:240.25–0.012:520.28–0.031:120.17–0.000:360.00–0.032:340.35–0.032:420.65–0.011:300.06–0.031:560.00–0.000:530.00–0.06
Tavares–Nylander–McMann0:510.18–0.054:230.01–0.021:380.00–0.000:560.00–0.004:440.19–0.052:450.00–0.01
Reaves–Kampf–Dewar2:300.09–0.092:050.05–0.000:560.61–0.001:250.00–0.131:180.00–0.000:510.00–0.001:570.14–0.032:030.05–0.130:440.02–0.06
Holmberg–Robertson–Knies0:430.00–0.000:310.17–0.002:500.09–0.240:500.00–0.002:510.26–0.060:380.00–0.19
Brodie–Lyubushkin3:220.09–0.523:410.25–0.012:060.29–0.001:120.07–0.001:010.00–0.005:250.00–0.452:300.47–0.011:130.02–0.001:340.14–0.031:040.05–0.000:300.01–0.06
McCabe–Benoit3:370.35–0.062:530.01–0.022:370.00–0.000:390.00–0.003:100.36–0.003:360.17–0.011:150.63–0.012:240.00–0.010:350.00–0.02
Giordano–Timmins1:060.10–0.001:110.07–0.111:180.03–0.034:160.00–0.273:010.16–0.111:380.01–0.002:270.03–0.110:380.00–0.19
Timmins–Benoit0:500.00–0.00
Brodie–McCabe
Brodie–Timmins
McCabe–Timmins0:550.14–0.01
Lyubushkin–Benoit0:480.00–0.000:460.00–0.00
Brodie–Benoit
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndMcMann FNylander FTavares FMatthews FBertuzzi FDomi FKnies FHolmberg FRobertson FKampf FDewar FReaves FLyubushkin DBrodie DBenoit DMcCabe DGiordano DTimmins DSamsonov GReinhart FBarkov FVerhaeghe FRodrigues FBennett FTkachuk FTarasenko FLundell FLuostarinen FStenlund FLomberg FGadjovich FEkblad DForsling DMontour DMikkola DKulikov DEkman-Larsson DBobrovsky GStolarz G
TORFLAFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Brandon MontourFLA2625:360:592:1672
Jake McCabeTOR3524:370:421:2907
TJ BrodieTOR3423:420:421:26310
Sam ReinhartFLA2522:400:542:1660
Aleksander BarkovFLA2621:430:502:1680
William NylanderTOR2320:100:531:4414
Simon BenoitTOR3320:100:371:2403
Gustav ForslingFLA2420:030:501:4622
Matthew TkachukFLA2519:320:471:5950
Aaron EkbladFLA2419:160:481:4322
Auston MatthewsTOR2118:360:531:3453
Ilya LyubushkinTOR2918:250:381:2927
Niko MikkolaFLA2317:500:471:2711
John TavaresTOR2017:450:532:0204
Sam BennettFLA2317:390:462:1610
Bobby McMannTOR2417:210:431:1304
Max DomiTOR2216:480:461:3551
David KampfTOR2016:430:501:4616
Tyler BertuzziTOR2016:410:501:3823
Conor TimminsTOR2016:140:491:5052
Connor DewarTOR2016:010:481:4917
Vladimir TarasenkoFLA2215:480:432:1641
Evan RodriguesFLA2114:470:421:1501
Oliver Ekman-LarssonFLA2114:420:421:1663
Eetu LuostarinenFLA2314:220:371:0445
Carter VerhaegheFLA1513:070:521:1250
Mark GiordanoTOR1813:050:441:4130
Ryan LombergFLA1913:000:411:1623
Kevin StenlundFLA1712:450:451:1014
Dmitry KulikovFLA1812:320:421:0913
Anton LundellFLA2112:110:350:5832
Ryan ReavesTOR1510:010:401:1123
Pontus HolmbergTOR149:530:421:1911
Nick RobertsonTOR139:090:421:2511
Jonah GadjovichFLA128:130:411:0902
Matthew KniesTOR126:570:351:1711