Thu, Apr 4, 2024·Centre Bell, Montreal
Tampa Bay Lightning 7, Montréal Canadiens 4
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Tampa Bay Lightning win this game 74% of the time.
19%
68%
MTL winsTBL wins
Tampa Bay Lightning
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 3 | 27:12 | 0.40 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | +1 | 3 | 21:20 | 0.99 | 52.3% | +33.4 | |
| 1 | 2 | 3 | +1 | 2 | 20:38 | 0.44 | 27.7% | +20.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 20:29 | 0.03 | 43.0% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 19:40 | 0.44 | 27.4% | +19.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 18:54 | 0.03 | 48.1% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 1 | 3 | +2 | 3 | 17:08 | 0.88 | 66.9% | +23.1 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 16:28 | 0.02 | 55.1% | +20.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 5 | 15:47 | 0.34 | 57.3% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 15:24 | 0.07 | 54.9% | +9.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 3 | 14:31 | 0.25 | 47.3% | +17.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 2 | 14:17 | 0.16 | 50.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 14:07 | 0.01 | 29.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 13:13 | 0.00 | 37.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 12:41 | 0.10 | 45.3% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +2 | 3 | 12:29 | 0.39 | 55.4% | +33.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 8:51 | 0.00 | 61.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | +1 | 1 | 8:51 | 0.07 | 57.5% | +29.5 |
| W | 30 | 26 | 4 | .867 | 2.97 | −1.0 | 60:00 |
Montréal Canadiens
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 4 | 28:13 | 0.16 | 59.9% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 25:00 | 0.00 | 68.1% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 24:14 | 0.01 | 48.7% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 6 | 22:44 | 0.66 | 71.9% | +4.5 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 7 | 20:40 | 0.71 | 75.4% | +3.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:47 | 0.00 | 64.2% | 0.0 | |
| 2 | 0 | 2 | −1 | 3 | 18:57 | 0.39 | 43.0% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 18:42 | 0.01 | 45.0% | +1.2 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 17:33 | 0.05 | 44.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 17:11 | 0.07 | 58.5% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 14:35 | 0.00 | 40.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | −1 | 4 | 13:21 | 0.57 | 52.0% | +35.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 12:46 | 0.09 | 27.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 11:55 | 0.04 | 31.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:23 | 0.01 | 5.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 9:16 | 0.00 | 30.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:12 | 0.21 | 43.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1:14 | 0.00 | 100.0% | 0.0 |
| L | 34 | 28 | 6 | .824 | 3.42 | −2.6 | 57:18 |