Sun, Apr 7, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit
Buffalo Sabres 1, Detroit Red Wings 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 77% of the time.
70%
17%
DET winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 28:41 | 0.15 | 67.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 23:10 | 0.08 | 55.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 22:47 | 0.28 | 79.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 22:12 | 0.40 | 68.2% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 22:07 | 0.58 | 76.7% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 1 | 22:05 | 0.13 | 44.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 20:42 | 0.03 | 30.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 18:49 | 0.11 | 48.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 15:36 | 0.26 | 43.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 3 | 15:18 | 0.09 | 41.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:11 | 0.02 | 64.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 13:01 | 0.03 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −2 | 1 | 11:45 | 0.15 | 31.9% | +7.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:38 | 0.00 | 45.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 10:00 | 0.00 | 52.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 9:55 | 0.30 | 99.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:29 | 0.02 | 82.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 9:16 | 0.07 | 89.6% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.19 | −0.8 | 56:56 |
Detroit Red Wings
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 27:07 | 0.00 | 13.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 23:48 | 0.35 | 14.4% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 1 | 2 | +1 | 5 | 21:14 | 0.26 | 49.6% | +23.6 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 20:53 | 1.00 | 51.6% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:41 | 0.98 | 20.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.06 | 13.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 19:23 | 0.09 | 66.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 17:34 | 0.15 | 55.2% | +7.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 17:13 | 0.46 | 13.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 16:35 | 0.04 | 39.1% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 2 | 16:18 | 0.40 | 53.4% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 2 | 16:06 | 0.10 | 48.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 2 | 15:02 | 0.01 | 75.9% | +11.8 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 14:25 | 0.16 | 58.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 12:21 | 0.03 | 52.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:59 | 0.00 | 39.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 6:13 | 0.00 | 47.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 5:46 | 0.26 | 46.6% | 0.0 |
| W | 38 | 37 | 1 | .974 | 2.69 | +1.7 | 60:00 |