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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 7, 2024·Little Caesars Arena, Detroit

Buffalo Sabres 1, Detroit Red Wings 3

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Detroit Red Wings win this game 77% of the time.

DET winsBUF wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

DET forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against BUF's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Tuch–Thompson–PeterkaSkinner–Greenway–KrebsJost–Robinson–RousekCozens–Quinn–BensonDahlin–PowerJokiharju–ByramClifton–BrysonJokiharju–DahlinClifton–ByramClifton–PowerByram–PowerDahlin–ByramClifton–DahlinBryson–Byram
Copp–Compher–Fischer10:420.12–0.441:120.00–0.033:590.00–0.102:320.08–0.051:300.00–0.283:070.04–0.220:350.00–0.00
Perron–Larkin–Raymond1:120.00–0.184:250.23–0.161:390.00–0.003:040.13–0.065:090.22–0.182:340.06–0.000:340.00–0.001:130.00–0.180:500.15–0.000:420.00–0.000:440.00–0.04
Kane–Czarnik–DeBrincat4:550.09–0.103:220.00–0.091:550.00–0.082:160.26–0.012:140.03–0.072:130.08–0.030:420.00–0.100:320.00–0.000:330.00–0.00
Fabbri–Sprong–Veleno2:220.00–0.131:190.01–0.040:540.23–0.161:490.00–0.041:140.00–0.130:300.01–0.00
Larkin–DeBrincat–Raymond0:390.00–0.00
Chiarot–Seider13:110.15–0.510:400.00–0.076:020.03–0.453:230.08–0.092:590.03–0.363:230.04–0.220:350.00–0.00
Petry–Edvinsson4:140.39–0.230:590.00–0.004:350.24–0.063:560.22–0.243:170.16–0.000:560.00–0.001:200.02–0.000:520.01–0.000:550.00–0.04
Maatta–Gostisbehere0:380.00–0.254:120.06–0.145:030.00–0.210:310.00–0.102:580.23–0.091:290.00–0.011:300.00–0.130:300.00–0.182:010.06–0.030:530.15–0.101:310.02–0.04
Seider–Edvinsson0:440.00–0.060:380.00–0.000:510.00–0.06
Maatta–Edvinsson
Gostisbehere–Edvinsson0:370.01–0.000:370.01–0.00
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3EndCopp FFischer FCompher FLarkin FPerron FRaymond FCzarnik FKane FDeBrincat FFabbri FSprong FVeleno FChiarot DSeider DEdvinsson DPetry DMaatta DGostisbehere DLyon GThompson FPeterka FTuch FQuinn FCozens FBenson FGreenway FKrebs FSkinner FRousek FJost FRobinson FPower DDahlin DJokiharju DByram DClifton DBryson DLuukkonen G
DETBUFFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

Rasmus DahlinBUF2928:410:593:3336
Moritz SeiderDET2627:071:033:5162
Ben ChiarotDET2423:481:002:5053
Owen PowerBUF2523:100:561:4834
JJ PeterkaBUF2322:470:591:5456
Tage ThompsonBUF2522:120:531:5448
Alex TuchBUF2422:070:551:5437
Henri JokiharjuBUF2422:050:551:3658
Lucas RaymondDET2721:140:471:4665
Dylan LarkinDET2620:530:481:4665
Bowen ByramBUF2420:420:521:4356
J.T. CompherDET2420:410:521:4655
Andrew CoppDET2419:580:501:4854
Simon EdvinssonDET2519:230:471:3237
Jordan GreenwayBUF2218:490:511:2431
David PerronDET2517:340:421:4664
Christian FischerDET2417:130:431:4682
Shayne GostisbehereDET2316:350:431:4664
Patrick KaneDET2116:180:472:1324
Olli MaattaDET2016:060:481:2843
Jeff SkinnerBUF2215:360:431:1451
Peyton KrebsBUF2215:180:421:2641
Connor CliftonBUF2115:110:431:2732
Jeff PetryDET2215:020:411:3736
Alex DeBrincatDET2214:250:391:0444
Dylan CozensBUF1513:010:521:4241
Austin CzarnikDET2112:210:351:0434
Zach BensonBUF1611:450:441:3242
Jack QuinnBUF1410:380:461:3431
Lukas RousekBUF1310:000:461:1341
Tyson JostBUF119:550:541:3641
Eric RobinsonBUF119:290:521:1741
Jacob BrysonBUF159:160:371:1821
Joseph VelenoDET106:590:421:5003
Robby FabbriDET106:130:371:2903
Daniel SprongDET95:460:381:3003