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Ice Lab

Sun, Apr 7, 2024·Capital One Arena, Washington

Ottawa Senators 3, Washington Capitals 2 (OT)

Expected result

Based on shot quality alone, Ottawa Senators win this game 53% of the time.

WSH winsOTT wins

Who was on the ice

Model-based

Line matchups and every shift of the game.

Line matchups

WSH forward lines and defence pairs (rows) against OTT's (columns) at 5-on-5. Darker cells shared more ice; the second number is xG for–against in that time. Click a cell to highlight it below.

Batherson–Tkachuk–PintoGiroux–Joseph–GreigKatchouk–Kastelic–KellyImama–MacEwen–SmejkalGiroux–Joseph–PintoChychrun–Bernard-DockerChabot–BrannstromSanderson–Zub
Pacioretty–Milano–Lapierre1:070.00–0.004:190.40–0.012:470.21–0.010:550.00–0.003:520.12–0.013:570.39–0.011:390.21–0.00
Ovechkin–Wilson–Strome5:080.25–0.131:580.17–0.162:120.08–0.062:500.01–0.15
Ovechkin–Strome–McMichael2:540.00–0.311:370.02–0.031:200.00–0.040:410.08–0.003:430.02–0.032:390.00–0.35
McMichael–Protas–Miroshnichenko2:400.00–0.131:090.00–0.001:330.00–0.101:530.00–0.151:210.00–0.03
Dowd–Sgarbossa–Malenstyn1:000.00–0.100:300.00–0.141:150.00–0.130:470.00–0.002:500.00–0.230:440.00–0.00
Dowd–Malenstyn–Protas1:250.01–0.040:390.22–0.001:140.28–0.001:570.08–0.00
Dowd–Wilson–Protas0:410.00–0.000:350.28–0.001:310.00–0.00
Ovechkin–Milano–Strome0:500.12–0.130:550.12–0.13
Carlson–Fehérváry7:200.00–0.412:180.01–0.311:400.21–0.040:480.01–0.142:320.12–0.163:530.00–0.057:060.21–0.79
Jensen–Sandin2:010.10–0.202:030.00–0.100:410.01–0.000:380.00–0.042:340.02–0.143:110.08–0.25
van Riemsdyk–Alexeyev0:340.15–0.041:260.00–0.002:180.00–0.141:520.16–0.011:430.00–0.171:540.00–0.00
Jensen–van Riemsdyk0:580.00–0.001:100.00–0.000:460.01–0.002:110.01–0.191:300.00–0.00
Jensen–Alexeyev1:180.00–0.001:030.00–0.031:210.00–0.001:500.00–0.032:040.00–0.00
van Riemsdyk–Fehérváry0:410.01–0.150:490.01–0.000:300.15–0.000:520.20–0.001:060.16–0.001:480.20–0.001:140.01–0.15
Carlson–Alexeyev0:410.00–0.051:020.07–0.001:270.00–0.131:260.28–0.001:130.00–0.171:110.07–0.00
Jensen–Fehérváry0:410.00–0.061:030.01–0.000:300.00–0.001:170.01–0.000:380.00–0.060:320.00–0.00
Carlson–van Riemsdyk0:460.52–0.140:410.13–0.14
Shift chart

Every shift, one row per player.

P1P2P3OTEndOvechkin FStrome FWilson FMiroshnichenko FMcMichael FProtas FMilano FLapierre FPacioretty FSgarbossa FDowd FMalenstyn FFehérváry DCarlson DJensen DSandin DAlexeyev Dvan Riemsdyk DLindgren GTkachuk FBatherson FPinto FGiroux FJoseph FGreig FKatchouk FKelly FKastelic FImama FMacEwen FSmejkal FZub DSanderson DChabot DBrannstrom DChychrun DBernard-Docker DKorpisalo G
WSHOTTFull-height lines are goals; short ticks at the top are shots. Hover to see who was on the ice.

Shift totals

John CarlsonWSH3028:580:583:1732
Jake SandersonOTT2325:051:053:3825
Martin FehérváryWSH2824:040:521:3823
Alex OvechkinWSH2223:081:033:1550
Dylan StromeWSH2422:430:572:3830
Brady TkachukOTT2121:371:023:3011
Artem ZubOTT2221:320:592:4815
Nick JensenWSH2821:230:461:5517
Jakob ChychrunOTT2021:231:042:1521
Claude GirouxOTT2321:130:552:4743
Drake BathersonOTT1920:251:043:1211
Trevor van RiemsdykWSH2318:520:491:2812
Connor McMichaelWSH2318:510:492:0711
Shane PintoOTT2118:310:531:3411
Thomas ChabotOTT2018:130:551:4521
Ridly GreigOTT2318:110:471:2431
Erik BrannstromOTT2117:170:491:5121
Jacob Bernard-DockerOTT1917:100:541:3211
Max PaciorettyWSH1817:060:572:4321
Tom WilsonWSH2217:010:462:1656
Aliaksei ProtasWSH2315:400:411:5406
Mathieu JosephOTT2115:400:451:1331
Alexander AlexeyevWSH1614:570:562:2203
Nic DowdWSH2214:560:411:1907
Sonny MilanoWSH1814:480:491:4541
Parker KellyOTT1813:490:462:2013
Hendrix LapierreWSH1813:470:461:0751
Beck MalenstynWSH1711:490:421:0816
Boris KatchoukOTT1510:270:421:0112
Mark KastelicOTT1610:170:391:0412
Jiri SmejkalOTT139:140:431:2431
Bokondji ImamaOTT118:210:461:2621
Zack MacEwenOTT118:140:451:2510
Rasmus SandinWSH107:090:431:2102
Michael SgarbossaWSH86:460:511:1802
Ivan MiroshnichenkoWSH86:050:461:2102