Tue, Apr 9, 2024·American Airlines Center, Dallas
Buffalo Sabres 2, Dallas Stars 3
Expected result
Based on shot quality alone, Dallas Stars win this game 81% of the time.
73%
13%
DAL winsBUF wins
Buffalo Sabres
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 25:04 | 0.01 | 11.5% | +15.9 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 24:49 | 0.04 | 10.9% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 22:24 | 0.29 | 40.8% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 21:55 | 0.21 | 37.4% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 21:50 | 0.00 | 42.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 0 | 19:58 | 0.00 | 60.8% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | −1 | 1 | 19:25 | 0.04 | 47.2% | +14.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:13 | 0.12 | 74.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:27 | 0.17 | 63.7% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 1 | 14:55 | 0.10 | 74.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 14:17 | 0.35 | 29.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:15 | 0.00 | 48.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 13:28 | 0.02 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 1 | 13:03 | 0.12 | 10.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:56 | 0.00 | 49.1% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 0 | 10:36 | 0.01 | 46.0% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +1 | 1 | 9:54 | 0.03 | 9.6% | +15.9 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −2 | 0 | 9:29 | 0.00 | 39.3% | 0.0 |
| L | 24 | 21 | 3 | .875 | 2.24 | −0.8 | 58:02 |
Dallas Stars
Official boxscore lines, plus individual xG, on-ice expected-goals share at 5-on-5 and win probability added (percentage points).
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 22:34 | 0.09 | 60.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 21:51 | 0.02 | 66.8% | +39.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 21:21 | 0.07 | 39.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 0 | 20:27 | 0.00 | 61.2% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 20:27 | 0.00 | 79.4% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 4 | 17:08 | 0.31 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 16:30 | 0.19 | 45.8% | +19.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | −1 | 2 | 16:21 | 0.19 | 59.5% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 15:59 | 0.31 | 46.8% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 15:03 | 0.06 | 72.9% | 0.0 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +2 | 3 | 14:53 | 0.27 | 61.9% | +20.5 | |
| 0 | 1 | 1 | +2 | 1 | 14:53 | 1.04 | 69.1% | +15.3 | |
| 1 | 0 | 1 | +1 | 3 | 14:45 | 0.26 | 52.7% | +15.3 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 14:20 | 0.03 | 97.3% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:49 | 0.08 | 46.2% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 13:35 | 0.17 | 91.9% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 10:34 | 0.19 | 97.6% | 0.0 | |
| 0 | 0 | 0 | +1 | 0 | 9:30 | 0.00 | 97.0% | 0.0 |
| W | 21 | 19 | 2 | .905 | 1.53 | −0.5 | 60:00 |